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Census News

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis Seeks Two Congressional Seats Citing 2020 Census Undercount and Rhode Island Dispute

US Domestic Policy

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis Seeks Two Congressional Seats Citing 2020 Census Undercount and Rhode Island Dispute

7

1 year ago

The next census in 2030 will show an increase in United States birth rate.

Sep 30, 3:40 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

37.04%chance

141850

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1142

599

How many seats in the U.S. House of Representatives will Texas lose/gain after the next U.S. census?

Feb 28, 6:18 PMSep 9, 2:29 PM

71455

OptionProbability

Gain more than 2

Gain 2

Gain 1

No Change

Lose more than 1

Lose 1

59

24

8

4

3

2

Will Trump force the USA to take a new census by the end of 2028?

Aug 14, 3:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.24%chance

12682

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1048

466

2030: % of "working age adults w/ serious difficulty remembering, making decisions" in US Census Survey? (long covid)

Jan 22, 1:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11572

OptionProbability

>= 4.5%, < 7% (post-2020 trend fit)

>= 7% (significantly worse than post-2020 trend)

>=3%, <4.5% (roughly current range)

< 3% (pre-2020 trend fit)

47

43

8

2

Will there be a new census before 2030?

Aug 7, 4:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40%chance

12417

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1225

816

Will more than 40% of respondents identify as having “No religion” in the 2041 UK Census?

Apr 3, 5:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

92.44%chance

7310

OptionVotes

NO

YES

352

53

Will the population of Lahaina, Hawaii, exceed 10,000 in the 2030 census?

Aug 30, 3:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

48.72%chance

8224

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1294

971

Will Kansas City Missouri have a population of over 550 thousand people in 2030 as reported by the US Census?

Nov 29, 4:43 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

48.61%chance

5119

OptionVotes

YES

NO

131

77

Will the 2030 NYC census be less than the 2020 census?

Aug 14, 12:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.48%chance

695

OptionVotes

YES

NO

109

91

Will Australia have more than 30 million people according to the 2031 Australian Census?

Feb 26, 4:02 PMOct 15, 1:29 PM

74.8%chance

482

OptionVotes

NO

YES

220

95

Will there be at least 800 people living in Dildo by next census?

Jan 7, 4:30 AMSep 2, 2:59 AM

39.55%chance

442

OptionVotes

YES

NO

85

58

What % of the UK's population will be Muslim in the 2031 census?

Jul 16, 7:55 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

115

OptionProbability

7 - 7.9%

8 - 8.9%

Below 5%

5 - 5.9%

6 - 6.9%

9 - 10%

Above 10%

23

20

11

11

11

11

11

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