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Prediction markets for Central European

Euro: Will there be a €1000 banknote before 2030?

Jan 15, 8:47 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7.68%chance

19753

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1691

892

EUR/USD Rate end of 2025

Jul 27, 9:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6742

Will Marine Le Pen be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election?

May 20, 8:13 AMMar 19, 11:59 PM

11.06%chance

10613

OptionVotes

YES

NO

284

35

Will the European Union introduce a digital euro as a central bank digital currency (CBDC) before the end of 2026?

Apr 5, 6:48 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

15.42%chance

18568

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1320

927

EU officially a federation by January 1, 2040?

Mar 23, 8:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.97%chance

12426

OptionVotes

NO

YES

301

287

Will the European Badger (Meles meles) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 27, 9:17 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

11.75%chance

6357

OptionVotes

YES

NO

803

404

How will One piece live action season 2 change the IMDB rating?

Oct 2, 8:54 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

19333

OptionProbability

Increase it (>= 8.5)

Keep it at same level (>= 8.2 && <= 8.4)

Decrese it slightly (>= 7.8 && <= 8.1)

Decrease it drastically (<= 7.7).

50

26

23

2

US and EU form transatlantic superstate by 2050?

Apr 30, 8:44 AMJan 2, 10:59 PM

8%chance

7295

OptionVotes

YES

NO

339

29

Will the ECB (deposit facility) interest rate be negative before 2033?

Apr 14, 1:10 AMDec 3, 12:00 PM

16.88%chance

10261

OptionVotes

YES

NO

334

106

Will Sabine Hossenfelder release any new music video by the end of 2025?

Nov 16, 8:47 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

19.35%chance

7130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

204

49

ECB cuts interest rates at September 11, 2025 meeting

Aug 20, 4:54 AMSep 11, 12:00 AM

21.53%chance

2110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

191

52

Labour Home Secretary publicly defy UK court ruling on deportation before next GE?

Jul 21, 9:57 AMAug 28, 10:59 PM

36.31%chance

6107

OptionVotes

YES

NO

132

76

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