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Top stories

Pakistan Awards Nishan-e-Imtiaz to US CENTCOM Chief Kurilla

US Foreign Policy

Pakistan Awards Nishan-e-Imtiaz to US CENTCOM Chief Kurilla

Authors

4

7 days ago

Prediction markets for Central

Will Javier Milei abolish the Argentinian central bank?

Nov 20, 12:30 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

21.51%chance

15111994

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2173

114

Will the Central Bank of Argentina exist on January 1 2030?

Nov 21, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.55%chance

253111

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1420

815

Will Donald Trump face financial penalties from the Central Park Five defamation lawsuit by end of 2025?

Oct 21, 9:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20%chance

101319

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2000

500

Will a retail CBDC (central bank digital currency) go live in the USA and become available for public use before 2031?

Sep 6, 1:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31%chance

231222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1529

621

Will Emmett Shear's new company make important and central contributions to AI alignment?

Mar 29, 8:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.27%chance

121122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1675

597

Will the U.S. have a central bank digital currency by 2030?

Mar 23, 11:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31%chance

11770

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1587

543

Will the United States have an official central bank digital currency by the end of 2033?

Apr 5, 6:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.37%chance

20708

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1071

941

Will the United States have an official central bank digital currency by the end of 2028?

Apr 5, 6:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.18%chance

19559

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1031

963

Will the European Union introduce a digital euro as a central bank digital currency (CBDC) before the end of 2026?

Apr 5, 6:48 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

16.76%chance

17468

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1220

946

Will the United States have an official central bank digital currency by the end of 2038?

Apr 5, 6:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47%chance

17311

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1089

904

South Park cancelled from Comedy Central before 2040

Mar 12, 7:57 PMMar 2, 7:59 AM

88.47%chance

11235

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1173

952

Will the USG centralize frontier AI development in a single government project?

Nov 19, 2:42 PMDec 21, 4:59 AM

56.51%chance

4140

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1140

877

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