OptionProbability
Discord
Once Upon a Farm
Cerebras
SpaceX
Anthropic
Databricks
OpenAI
Deel
Anduril
Celonis
Applied Intuition
Fannie Mae
Vanta
Freddie Mac
Ramp
Glean
Stripe
Ripple Labs
Mistral AI
Brex
Remote
xAI
94
92
80
76
59
51
46
45
38
34
30
25
23
21
20
18
17
14
11
8
OptionVotes
YES
NO
2501
916
Officially confirmed that their chips are used by OpenAI, Anthropic, or DeepSeek, with a value of at least 100m USD, by mid 2028
IPO actually happens in 2026
At end of first day trading, valuation >10b
+3 years from IPO, the CEO is still in place (from IPO time)
HQ moves farther than 50 miles from sunnyvale city hall
+2 years from IPO, valuation is >100b
Has over 1000 employees at IPO time.
The CEO Andrew Feldman has a wikipedia page active on the IPO day
Is purchased by another company by mid 2028
Any of their CEOs visits the Qhite House, til mid 2027, media proof required*
Cerebras sells a consumer product, <10k usd, in US by mid 2027
Out of business by mid 2027
At end of first day trading, valuation >50b
IPO actually happens in 2027
IPO actually happens in 2025
100
93
74
50
48
37
31
1
1875
705
261