OptionProbability
Audiobook narration indistinguishable from human
Consistently win games of "Diplomacy" against experienced players online
Solve all fresh Sudoku puzzles >99% of the time (LLMs only)
Improvise and perform professional-level stand-up comedy routines
Write a script to a prompt that is made into a "Certified Fresh" movie on Rotten Tomatoes
97
73
72
40
29
Yes, it will be Certified Fresh (75% or higher)
No, but it will Non-Certified Fresh (60%-74%)
No, it will be Rotten (Less than 60%)
No live-action Legend of Zelda movie will release by market close
32
25
3