OptionVotes
NO
YES
1478
1425
1443
689
OptionProbability
Deal with minimal concessions
Unyielding Islamic Regime
Deal with major concessions
Balkanization/long civil war
Military coup (Artesh)
Popular takeover
Venezuela-style puppet state
Voluntary transition of power
43
36
8
6
3
1
445
22
243
41
