OptionVotes
NO
YES
1478
1425
1452
685
OptionProbability
Unyielding Islamic Regime
Deal with minimal concessions
Balkanization/long civil war
Deal with major concessions
Military coup (Artesh)
Popular takeover
Voluntary transition of power
Venezuela-style puppet state
36
24
13
12
9
4
2
1
400
25
243
41
