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Prediction markets for Character

By 2028, will AI be able to make a full animated movie with consistent plot, design and characters with no input besides the original prompt?

Dec 2, 5:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.67%chance

18477249

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2324

1593

When will a Claude model think faster than its Pokemon character can take steps?

Dec 26, 9:30 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

1411132

OptionProbability

January 2029 or earlier

June 2028 or earlier

January 2028 or earlier

June 2027 or earlier

January 2027 or earlier

June 2026 or earlier

62

53

43

29

10

5

Will we believe that AI character bots make it harder for kids to form human friendships by 2028?

Oct 15, 11:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

53.7%chance

695136

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1059

952

Audible sells books narrated by AI voice replacements of celebrities or characters before 2029

Jun 11, 2:15 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

85.84%chance

351327

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1349

898

California allows non-alphanumeric characters in plates

Aug 24, 12:33 AMSep 1, 6:59 AM

8.8%chance

201242

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2138

805

Will I lose another character in my PbP RPG server before anyone else loses a character?

Jul 1, 4:51 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

30.96%chance

3938

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1493

670

Which POV character will have the most chapters in "The Winds of Winter" by George R.R. Martin?

Aug 24, 4:16 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

5710

OptionProbability

Tyrion Lannister

Arya Stark

Jon Snow

Daenerys Targaryen

Cersei Lannister

Other

Arianne Martell

35

13

13

13

10

10

5

Will all characters in movie have an option to have a person's name "hover over" their name so that the face-blind can keep track of who is who, by 2027?

Feb 8, 7:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.25%chance

11211

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1114

959

Will an anime character modeled off of @repligate/janus be instantiated by nearcyan's Elysian labs by 2028

May 19, 11:30 PMDec 29, 4:59 AM

48.08%chance

4160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1039

962

Will razib Khan or Jose Luis Ricon or Charles Chuck Johnson be a playable character in GTA7

Nov 26, 12:11 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50%chance

160

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will a character from a previous season die in Season 4 of The White Lotus?

Apr 7, 3:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.67%chance

255

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1055

948

WILL THERE BE A DEEPFAKE OF JOSE LUIS RICON BEING MODDED INTO A GTA6 PLAYABLE CHARACTER BY EOY2035?

Dec 7, 1:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

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