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Prediction markets for Chart of the Day

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? [Polymarket]

Jun 15, 1:39 PMJul 14, 11:59 PM

14%chance

13156111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2478

403

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? [Polymarket]

Jun 25, 10:24 PMJul 7, 5:59 AM

5%chance

409885

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4359

229

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Nov 14, 3:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.61%chance

745724

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2141

900

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? [Polymarket]

Jun 18, 1:30 PMAug 15, 5:59 AM

46%chance

223568

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1083

923

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of August? [Polymarket]

May 29, 2:45 AMAug 31, 11:59 PM

52.48%chance

233083

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

952

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ...

Apr 5, 8:43 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM

201512

OptionProbability

5. December 31

4. September 30

3. July 31

6. Never in 2026

1. April 30

2. May 31

85

65

43

13

1

1

Will any UK political party consistently poll at 35% or higher in 2026?

Dec 23, 10:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17%chance

12985

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1679

802

Will BTC-USD close above $120,000 on any day before July 1, 2026?

May 21, 9:15 AMJul 1, 12:05 AM

1%chance

2549

OptionVotes

YES

NO

647

87

Will USTC be above $ 0.01 in August 2026

May 31, 7:49 PMAug 1, 11:59 PM

47.34%chance

3386

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1055

948

Will SpaceX outperform the S&P 500 over the 2 years following its IPO?

Jun 3, 2:50 PMJun 12, 10:00 PM

41.11%chance

14284

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

84

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to actual normal of 100 ships per day during Trump's presidency.

Jun 30, 4:51 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

47.91%chance

2150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1043

959

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? [Polymarket]

Jun 29, 8:49 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

80.93%chance

443

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1035

836

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