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Prediction markets for ChatGPT Business

What will the valuation of OpenAI at IPO be?

Feb 28, 8:12 AMMar 7, 10:59 PM

113835

8. OpenAI, Anthropic and other frontier labs will begin ‘moving up the stack,’ [...] building applications

Dec 27, 8:22 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM

93.64%chance

163091

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3838

261

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

82.06%chance

372697

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1928

630

Will generative artificial intelligence be banned in at least one G7 country by the end of 2026?

Jul 29, 2:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15%chance

12407

OptionVotes

YES

NO

238

42

Will I find customer help chatbots infuriating in these years?

Jan 14, 6:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6122

OptionProbability

2024

2026

2027

2028

2029

2025

80

54

50

50

50

48

Will the PRC terminate ECFA before 2028?

Jan 20, 5:27 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

49.64%chance

311

OptionVotes

NO

YES

90

90

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