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Top stories

OpenAI Opens New Delhi Office, Launches ₹399 ChatGPT Go Plan, and Provides 500,000 Free Six-Month Licenses to Indian Educators

OpenAI Opens New Delhi Office, Launches ₹399 ChatGPT Go Plan, and Provides 500,000 Free Six-Month Licenses to Indian Educators

Authors

9

3 months ago

Prediction markets for ChatGPT Go

If Trump is elected, will Biden go to prison for treason related to his border policies?

Oct 23, 5:07 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

2.5%chance

469723

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6250

160

4. Web agents will go mainstream, becoming the next major killer application in consumer AI.

Dec 27, 8:15 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM

45.1%chance

295557

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1103

906

What will the valuation of OpenAI at IPO be?

Feb 28, 8:12 AMMar 7, 10:59 PM

164194

OptionProbability

$1000bn+

$500 - 999bn

$300 - 499bn

$200 - 299bn

$100 - 199bn

Below $50bn

$50 - 99bn

55

30

6

4

3

1

1

Will another "ChatGPT moment" or AI panic happen before an AI bust?

Aug 22, 9:02 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

433318

OptionProbability

Explosion of interest and/or investment in AI will happen first

Deflation of interest in and/or investment in AI will happen first

Neither will happen before 2100

49

47

4

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

82.06%chance

372697

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1928

630

Will a novel published by a 'Big Five' publisher turn out to be written by an AI by 2028?

Aug 31, 7:40 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

60%chance

401996

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1130

724

Will Grammarly go bankrupt/defunct before the end of 2028?

Mar 13, 7:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.79%chance

201282

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1967

590

2030 – 2. We interact with a wide range of AIs in our daily lives as naturally as we interact with other humans today

Mar 11, 12:07 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

88.83%chance

141045

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1519

876

Will Google Gemini rank above ChatGPT in the App Store at EOY 2026?

Mar 27, 11:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.49%chance

16552

OptionVotes

YES

NO

129

77

Does gpt-3.5-turbo have <25B parameters?

Nov 8, 6:58 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

43.71%chance

9262

OptionVotes

YES

NO

237

204

Can we create a custom GPT-o3 that is very stupid?

Jun 6, 4:26 PMDec 31, 5:18 PM

72.92%chance

14227

OptionVotes

NO

YES

164

61

Will chatGPT (or an analogue) be able to query the entire text of anyone's entire Goodreads collection list by EOY 2027?

Feb 22, 2:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

66.22%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

90

56

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