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Top stories

OpenAI Opens New Delhi Office, Launches ₹399 ChatGPT Go Plan, and Provides 500,000 Free Six-Month Licenses to Indian Educators

OpenAI Opens New Delhi Office, Launches ₹399 ChatGPT Go Plan, and Provides 500,000 Free Six-Month Licenses to Indian Educators

Authors

9

1 year ago

Prediction markets for ChatGPT Go

If Trump is elected, will Biden go to prison for treason related to his border policies?

Oct 23, 5:07 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

2.5%chance

469723

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6250

160

Will a novel published by a 'Big Five' publisher turn out to be written by an AI by 2028?

Aug 31, 7:40 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

95.71%chance

577515

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4802

504

7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

Dec 28, 11:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.77%chance

347169

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3717

270

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.08%chance

382747

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1720

680

Will Grammarly go bankrupt/defunct before the end of 2028?

Mar 13, 7:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.78%chance

202332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3017

424

2030 – 2. We interact with a wide range of AIs in our daily lives as naturally as we interact with other humans today

Mar 11, 12:07 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

88.83%chance

141045

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1519

876

Will Google Gemini rank above ChatGPT in the App Store at EOY 2026?

Mar 27, 11:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.54%chance

23874

OptionVotes

YES

NO

327

31

Will I feel Manifold Markets is a competitive way of gaining information by 2027?

Jun 19, 8:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.7%chance

15386

OptionVotes

YES

NO

249

41

Which happens first? [Ads in AI][OpenAI vs Anthropic]

Feb 9, 7:33 PMFeb 10, 5:59 AM

7302

OptionProbability

OpenAI significantly expands the scope of Ads in ChatGPT

OpenAI removes ads in ChatGPT

Anthropic adds Ads in one of their primary AI apps (currently Claude)

88

8

4

Does gpt-3.5-turbo have <25B parameters?

Nov 8, 6:58 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

43.71%chance

9262

OptionVotes

YES

NO

237

204

Will I find customer help chatbots infuriating in these years?

Jan 14, 6:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6122

OptionProbability

2024

2026

2027

2028

2029

2025

80

54

50

50

50

48

Will chatGPT (or an analogue) be able to query the entire text of anyone's entire Goodreads collection list by EOY 2027?

Feb 22, 2:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

66.22%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

90

56

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