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Prediction markets for ChatGPT Operator

7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

Dec 28, 11:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.9%chance

316987

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4412

227

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.08%chance

382747

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1720

680

Will any country officially ban or heavily restrict the use of advanced AI systems before January 1, 2027

Mar 19, 4:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.39%chance

131949

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2439

410

Open ia fait faillite avant la fin de l’année ?

Mar 27, 3:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.28%chance

6549

OptionVotes

YES

NO

295

34

Will OpenAI release a fully autonomous AI agent product before July 2027?

Aug 20, 12:44 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

92.43%chance

11350

OptionVotes

NO

YES

350

29

China implements 30+ infrastructure connectivity projects in Africa by EOY 2027?

Nov 26, 3:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.66%chance

7250

OptionVotes

NO

YES

145

69

Will any OpenAI models be restricted to US in 2026?

Jun 13, 1:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.82%chance

11218

OptionVotes

YES

NO

161

62

Which of these AI companies will shut down first?

Nov 3, 2:52 PMDec 31, 2:48 PM

562

OptionProbability

Perplexity

xAI

Other

OpenAI

Anthropic

38

28

19

7

7

Will Chatgpt-type chatbots become extinct before 2100?

Sep 16, 5:54 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

34.81%chance

419

OptionVotes

NO

YES

117

24

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