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Prediction markets for ChatGPT Pro

Will OpenAI or Microsoft produce a comsumer hardware device built on ChatGPT before 2026?

Mar 23, 5:59 PMAug 31, 10:59 PM

251463

OptionProbability

No

Smart speaker

XR glasses/headset

Wearable button (screenless voice interface)

Smartphone

Smartwatch

Laptop

81

22

22

21

20

20

19

OpenAI offers customizable plans by EOY? [READ DESC]

Feb 18, 6:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.15%chance

11852

OptionVotes

YES

NO

237

42

Will Anthropic or OpenAI introduce a US$2000 per month consumer-facing plan in 2026?

Apr 21, 10:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.79%chance

14440

OptionVotes

YES

NO

250

40

Will ChatGPT recommend products of ad partners over similar products from companies that don't buy ads?

Jan 16, 11:00 PMJan 16, 10:34 PM

56.9%chance

6341

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1149

870

Will ChatGPT personal finance release for Plus Plans in 2026?

May 18, 5:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.67%chance

8266

OptionVotes

NO

YES

135

74

Which happens first? [Ads in AI][OpenAI vs Anthropic]

Feb 9, 7:33 PMFeb 10, 5:59 AM

6211

OptionProbability

OpenAI significantly expands the scope of Ads in ChatGPT

OpenAI removes ads in ChatGPT

Anthropic adds Ads in one of their primary AI apps (currently Claude)

70

20

10

When will OpenAI release GPT-Live-1 for API use?

Jul 15, 2:16 PMSep 1, 10:59 PM

3122

OptionProbability

Before August 31, 2026

Before August 24, 2026

Before August 16, 2026

Before July 31, 2026

Before August 8, 2026

Before July 23, 2026

90

83

76

50

50

46

Will OpenAI's primary consumer AI product still be branded 'ChatGPT' on December 31, 2033?

Jun 15, 2:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.28%chance

684

OptionVotes

YES

NO

124

80

I fully switched to Codex as my main Coding Agent, will I switch back to Claude Code this year?

May 21, 6:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.7%chance

668

OptionVotes

NO

YES

148

68

Will chatGPT (or some other AI program) generate a forum scraper than can adequately scrape any phpBB/vBulletin/Discourse/Invision Powerboard forum by 2026?

Jan 10, 5:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

64.32%chance

468

OptionVotes

NO

YES

127

97

List price of most expensive ChatGPT subscription plan for individuals in 2030?

Mar 3, 2:22 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

217

OptionProbability

OpenAI no longer offers paid individual plans

Greater than $1,000 per month

$0.01-50 per month

$51-100 per month

$101-200 per month

$201-500 per month

$501-1,000 per month

26

19

11

11

11

11

11

I SWITCHED FROM CHATGPT PRO TO CLAUDE MAX TODAY. WILL I BE HAPPIER WITH THE RESULTS?

Jun 21, 3:26 AM

120

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