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Prediction markets for ChatGPT Pro

Will consumer AI platforms (ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, etc) face an ‘economic blackout’ protest against the US govt?

Jan 25, 8:48 PMJul 30, 10:59 PM

6.1%chance

8449885

OptionVotes

YES

NO

39234

2549

Will OpenAI or Microsoft produce a comsumer hardware device built on ChatGPT before 2026?

Mar 23, 5:59 PMAug 31, 10:59 PM

251463

OptionProbability

No

Smart speaker

XR glasses/headset

Wearable button (screenless voice interface)

Smartphone

Smartwatch

Laptop

81

22

22

21

20

20

19

Will OpenAI publicly release a GPT-5.6 model by September 30, 2026?

Jun 15, 12:14 PMOct 1, 12:00 AM

96.66%chance

10753

OptionVotes

NO

YES

471

12

Will Anthropic or OpenAI introduce a US$2000 per month consumer-facing plan in 2026?

Apr 21, 10:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

14390

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

Will OpenAI publicly release a GPT-5.6 model by August 31, 2026?

Jun 15, 7:16 PMSep 1, 12:00 AM

92.52%chance

11350

OptionVotes

NO

YES

216

85

Will ChatGPT recommend products of ad partners over similar products from companies that don't buy ads?

Jan 16, 11:00 PMJan 16, 10:34 PM

56.9%chance

6341

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1149

870

Will ChatGPT personal finance release for Plus Plans in 2026?

May 18, 5:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.67%chance

8266

OptionVotes

NO

YES

135

74

Will chatGPT (or some other AI program) generate a forum scraper than can adequately scrape any phpBB/vBulletin/Discourse/Invision Powerboard forum by 2026?

Jan 10, 5:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

64.32%chance

468

OptionVotes

NO

YES

127

97

Will OpenAI's primary consumer AI product still be branded 'ChatGPT' on December 31, 2033?

Jun 15, 2:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.28%chance

564

OptionVotes

YES

NO

124

80

List price of most expensive ChatGPT subscription plan for individuals in 2030?

Mar 3, 2:22 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

217

OptionProbability

OpenAI no longer offers paid individual plans

Greater than $1,000 per month

$0.01-50 per month

$51-100 per month

$101-200 per month

$201-500 per month

$501-1,000 per month

26

19

11

11

11

11

11

I will get frustrated enough with ChatGPT's help creating propositions to switch my A.I. by what date?

Jun 15, 10:45 PMOct 1, 6:59 AM

110

OptionProbability

Before October 1

Before July 16

Before August 1

Before August 16

Before September 1

Before September 16

Before July 1

59

50

50

50

50

50

41

I SWITCHED FROM CHATGPT PRO TO CLAUDE MAX TODAY. WILL I BE HAPPIER WITH THE RESULTS?

Jun 21, 3:26 AM

120

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