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Prediction markets for ChatGPT Pro

Will Anthropic or OpenAI introduce a US$2000 per month consumer-facing plan in 2026?

Apr 21, 10:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.61%chance

171000

OptionVotes

YES

NO

410

24

Will Anthropic announce a $400+/month tier before 2027?

Oct 5, 6:43 AMDec 1, 12:00 AM

30.38%chance

9981

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1514

661

OpenAI offers customizable plans by EOY? [READ DESC]

Feb 18, 6:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.11%chance

11952

OptionVotes

YES

NO

337

30

Will ChatGPT recommend products of ad partners over similar products from companies that don't buy ads?

Jan 16, 11:00 PMJan 16, 10:34 PM

56.9%chance

6341

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1149

870

Which happens first? [Ads in AI][OpenAI vs Anthropic]

Feb 9, 7:33 PMFeb 10, 5:59 AM

7302

OptionProbability

OpenAI significantly expands the scope of Ads in ChatGPT

OpenAI removes ads in ChatGPT

Anthropic adds Ads in one of their primary AI apps (currently Claude)

88

8

4

Which app will be #1 on Apple's US Top Free iPhone chart on November 15, 2026?

Oct 21, 3:13 PMNov 15, 6:00 PM

6225

OptionProbability

Other

TikTok (any TikTok Ltd app)

Muse from Meta

ChatGPT

Capital One Mobile

Google Gemini

Claude by Anthropic

Temu

Threads

25

20

17

9

8

6

6

5

4

I fully switched to Codex as my main Coding Agent, will I switch back to Claude Code this year?

May 21, 6:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.7%chance

668

OptionVotes

NO

YES

148

68

Will chatGPT (or some other AI program) generate a forum scraper than can adequately scrape any phpBB/vBulletin/Discourse/Invision Powerboard forum by 2026?

Jan 10, 5:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

64.32%chance

468

OptionVotes

NO

YES

127

97

List price of most expensive ChatGPT subscription plan for individuals in 2030?

Mar 3, 2:22 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

319

OptionProbability

OpenAI no longer offers paid individual plans

Greater than $1,000 per month

$0.01-50 per month

$51-100 per month

$101-200 per month

$201-500 per month

$501-1,000 per month

25

21

11

11

11

11

11

I SWITCHED FROM CHATGPT PRO TO CLAUDE MAX TODAY. WILL I BE HAPPIER WITH THE RESULTS?

Jun 21, 3:26 AM

120

Have you spent money on Ai?

Jan 18, 11:03 PM

290

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