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Prediction markets for ChatGPT Projects

Will a high-speed rail line between London and Manchester in the UK be operational before 2045?

May 1, 7:25 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

35.67%chance

161390

OptionVotes

YES

NO

228

160

Will the population of San Francisco reach 950,000 before 2030?

Aug 22, 6:18 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

28.51%chance

6850

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1583

632

Will OpenAI announce a new full-size, frontier model >5.2 before March 1, 2026?

Jan 14, 9:55 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

47.4%chance

17675

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

Kramer Intelligence overtakes Apple Intelligence by the end of 2026?

Jul 4, 10:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.28%chance

6213

OptionVotes

YES

NO

313

32

China implements 30+ infrastructure connectivity projects in Africa by EOY 2027?

Nov 26, 3:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.63%chance

6157

OptionVotes

NO

YES

145

69

Which of these AI companies will shut down first?

Nov 3, 2:52 PMDec 31, 2:48 PM

438

OptionProbability

Perplexity

Other

OpenAI

Anthropic

xAI

34

32

11

11

11

If AI were the internet, what year would we be in with regards to progress and maturity

Feb 16, 11:53 PM

270

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