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Prediction markets for ChatGPT Search
Prediction markets for ChatGPT Search
Will the Supreme Court weaken Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act in Louisiana v. Callais?
Oct 17, 7:08 PM
Oct 17, 11:59 PM
69.67%
chance
19
14646
Option
Votes
NO
YES
15156
6598
Will AI usage in 2030 be split in tiers where the best and most expensive models are used rarely compared to cheaper and lower-quality models?
Dec 23, 9:10 PM
Jan 2, 5:59 AM
91%
chance
23
1906
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2000
824
Will AI systems and humans merge to create Cyborgs which are also the primary way that most humans live, this century?
Mar 24, 9:30 AM
Jan 1, 6:29 AM
59.37%
chance
15
591
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1123
765
Will an AI chatbot overtake Google as the most used search engine by 2030?
Aug 3, 6:57 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
40.89%
chance
8
472
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1202
832
Kindle+LLM+audio readout combination product is available from Amazon by mid 2027
Dec 16, 5:23 PM
Jul 1, 5:59 AM
38.74%
chance
17
460
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1116
1014
Will Open AI hit 750+ Billion Dollar Evaluation Before March 31st, 2026?
Jan 14, 5:43 PM
Mar 30, 11:59 PM
81.49%
chance
10
367
Option
Votes
NO
YES
226
54
Will Gemini be more popular than Chatgpt at the end of 2026?
Jan 15, 3:17 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
26.8%
chance
16
239
Option
Votes
YES
NO
271
148
Will Gemini be more popular than Chatgpt at the end of 2027?
Jan 18, 8:42 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
47.7%
chance
10
82
Option
Votes
NO
YES
232
180
Will an open source LLM (Vicuna, Alpaca, etc.) exceed ChatGPT interest by 2030?
May 22, 9:40 PM
Jan 1, 9:00 AM
59.02%
chance
2
70
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
82
If AI were the internet, what year would we be in with regards to progress and maturity
Feb 16, 11:53 PM
27
0
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