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CheckPoint News
Prediction markets for CheckPoint
Prediction markets for CheckPoint
Will GPT-5 be released incrementally as GPT4.x for different checkpoints from the training run?
Apr 13, 10:16 PM
Dec 31, 6:29 AM
4.98%
chance
44
4377
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3657
501
Fatal attack preventable by TSA shoe screening before 2030?
Jul 12, 6:42 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
3.1%
chance
20
1307
Option
Votes
YES
NO
559
18
Will a GLP-1 agonist diabetes / weight loss drug be the top bestselling drug in 2025?
Mar 8, 4:50 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
30%
chance
25
1266
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1194
845
Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?
Oct 30, 11:42 AM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
50.47%
chance
3
107
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1059
1041
By 2030, will the FDA approve any drug in combination with a checkpoint blockade therapy that substantially reduces immune escape?
Nov 18, 2:41 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
53.53%
chance
5
46
Option
Votes
NO
YES
169
129
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