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Prediction markets for Chief of War

Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or face trial for war crimes?

May 20, 5:59 PMDec 16, 11:59 PM

8.66%chance

10617201

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3248

308

When will Warren Buffett stop being Berkshire Hathaway's chief executive officer?

Aug 31, 2:20 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

2411281

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2023

2024

Other

98

1

0

0

0

Was Jeffrey Goldberg deliberately added to the "Houthi PC" Signal group chat?

Mar 24, 9:25 PMJan 3, 11:59 PM

5.61%chance

203766

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4103

244

Will russia attack and/or occupy european NATO area until EOY2029? And if so, where will that happen first?

May 23, 4:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6693

OptionProbability

Not on NATO area/Not at all

Finland

Other

Estonia

Lithuania

Latvia

79

7

6

3

3

3

Federal court rules on War Powers Act constitutionality by July 2026?

Jun 24, 8:40 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

45%chance

327

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

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