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Chinchilla News
Prediction markets for Chinchilla
Prediction markets for Chinchilla
Will Scaling Laws for Neural Language Model continue to hold till the end of 2027?
Dec 27, 6:36 PM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
68.34%
chance
19
1064
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1171
900
Benchmark Gap #1: Once we have a language model that achieves expert human performance on all *current* major NLP benchmarks, how many years will it be before we have an AI with human-level language skills?
Oct 27, 5:11 PM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
8.61%
chance
11
715
Option
Probability
YES
NO
1249
958
Will Scaling Laws for Neural Language Model continue to hold till the end of 2026?
Dec 27, 6:36 PM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
81.62%
chance
11
409
Option
Votes
NO
YES
312
140
Will Open Source chip development have been a crucial factor for enabling a global AI moratorium?
Jan 17, 3:06 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
19.5%
chance
8
142
Option
Votes
YES
NO
458
289
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