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Prediction markets for Chinese American

Will the US attack Cuba before China attacks Taiwan?

Jan 31, 4:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.05%chance

5015103

OptionVotes

NO

YES

16057

6228

The American open AI frontier will catch up to Chinese models in 2026

Jan 2, 7:49 AMJan 15, 7:59 AM

19.5%chance

153590

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2032

492

Will an American Astronaut and a Chinese Taikonaut shake hands on the surface of the moon before 2035?

Apr 29, 12:24 AMDec 31, 4:05 PM

15.65%chance

8466

OptionVotes

YES

NO

226

119

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2027?

Oct 24, 7:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

17.51%chance

14316

OptionVotes

YES

NO

232

58

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2035?

Oct 24, 7:38 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

84.19%chance

7272

OptionVotes

NO

YES

205

40

[Humanoid Bots] Will the USA (or China) be the key player?

Mar 6, 10:42 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

62.19%chance

15217

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1008

974

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2029?

Oct 24, 7:34 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

45.03%chance

9206

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

100

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040?

Oct 24, 7:40 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

83.56%chance

5171

OptionVotes

NO

YES

235

57

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2028?

Oct 24, 7:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

19.84%chance

6154

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

55

Will Chinese naval units outclass American naval units in direct combat?

May 4, 2:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

32.67%chance

11154

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

169

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2032?

Oct 24, 7:36 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

83.17%chance

5140

OptionVotes

NO

YES

156

28

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2030?

Oct 24, 7:35 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

43.51%chance

895

OptionVotes

NO

YES

90

87

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