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Prediction markets for Chinese New Year
Will a quantum computer prove capable of breaking 2048 bit RSA encryption by 2030?
Sep 25, 8:23 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
20.35%
chance
44
4648
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1001
753
Will a new social media app surpass TikTok in monthly users before 2027?”
Mar 21, 8:08 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
7.51%
chance
10
4498
Option
Votes
YES
NO
351
28
Will Alex get into a high tier UC
Dec 15, 10:40 AM
Jun 30, 10:39 AM
60.23%
chance
15
2192
Option
Votes
NO
YES
118
4
Will Trump tariff Canada 100%
Jan 24, 2:35 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
7.48%
chance
13
473
Option
Votes
YES
NO
352
28
Will China launch nine aircraft carriers by the end of 2035?
Dec 24, 7:08 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
35.32%
chance
8
303
Option
Votes
YES
NO
135
74
Will new KMT Chair Cheng Li-wun meet in person with Chinese President Xi Jinping before 2027?
Dec 24, 4:45 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
35%
chance
5
251
Option
Votes
YES
NO
136
73
China implements 30+ infrastructure connectivity projects in Africa by EOY 2027?
Nov 26, 3:39 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
73.13%
chance
7
220
Option
Votes
NO
YES
165
61
Will a Chinese Airliner Break the Airbus/Boeing Duopoly Before 2030?
Dec 26, 8:42 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
15.74%
chance
7
110
Option
Votes
YES
NO
162
31
Will new KMT Chair Cheng Li-wun meet in person with Chinese President Xi Jinping before 2028?
Oct 21, 3:59 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
60.4%
chance
2
52
Option
Votes
NO
YES
124
81
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