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Prediction markets for Chipped

Will Elon Musk put a Neuralink chip in his brain before 2030?

Jan 30, 9:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

17.74%chance

27134163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3884

1846

Will Huawei ship at least one million 910C chips in 2026?

Dec 12, 3:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.96%chance

4623413

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12005

8330

Will Elon Musk get a chip implanted in his brain before he passes away?

Jan 30, 7:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

38.87%chance

12420076

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14305

8109

6. Many more AI companies will begin building custom chips.

Dec 28, 11:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

90.5%chance

246554

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3092

324

Will the USA have 20% or more of advanced logic chip production by 2032?

May 13, 5:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.18%chance

185040

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1083

920

Will Elon's Terafab produce a single chip before 2028?

Mar 25, 5:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.78%chance

212033

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1573

636

Will I personally know someone with a Neuralink or other brain chip implant by the end of 2032?

Apr 10, 8:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.55%chance

31810

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2025

1882

US export restrictions lead to reported large-scale AI chip theft by end of 2026

Jan 16, 8:15 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

44.76%chance

7705

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1111

900

Will I think by 2030 that substantial quantities of TSMC chip fabs were destroyed due to China invading Taiwan

Dec 15, 6:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32%chance

24591

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1065

819

Did the "Chinese spy chip" reported by Bloomberg ever exist?

Aug 10, 2:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

26.99%chance

23555

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1147

931

Will a top-100 chess player accuse another top-100 player of cheating at chess using a brain chip by EOY 2034 ?

Apr 20, 6:12 PMJan 31, 10:59 PM

34.81%chance

12513

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1015

871

China provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?

Oct 30, 12:17 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

52.33%chance

6247

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1115

1009

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