Christianity News
Prediction markets for Christianity
Will I (Aella) convert to Christianity by the end of 2028?
Dec 30, 8:07 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
1.9%chance
189413625
OptionVotes
3322
969
Will Aella convert to sexually conservative Christianity by the end of [year]?
Jul 22, 2:59 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM
612434
OptionProbability
1
1
0
0
OptionVotes
1752
939
OptionVotes
2303
434
Will Scott Alexander convert to Christianity before 2030?
Jun 18, 3:15 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
2.93%chance
715611
OptionVotes
1619
943
OptionVotes
975
902
Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026?
Apr 13, 8:53 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM
38.29%chance
462486
OptionVotes
1464
458
Jordan Peterson becomes an Eastern Orthodox Christian before 2030
Aug 15, 2:26 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
14.48%chance
122330
OptionVotes
2430
411
Christian Democrats still in Riksdag after next election?
Aug 14, 5:41 PMSep 12, 11:59 PM
84.97%chance
72036
OptionVotes
2378
421
Bart Ehrman Will Convert to Esoteric/Gnostic Christianity before 2030?
Sep 30, 6:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
13.33%chance
21550
OptionVotes
2550
392
Will Usha Vance convert to Christianity before the election?
Oct 31, 3:11 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM
30.28%chance
18808
OptionVotes
199
117
Will "Christian homeschoolers in the year 3000" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Sep 18, 5:09 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
11.5%chance
3256
OptionVotes
1214
969