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Top stories

Over 3,500 Gather at Notre-Dame de Paris for Solemnity of the Assumption of the Blessed Virgin Mary

Over 3,500 Gather at Notre-Dame de Paris for Solemnity of the Assumption of the Blessed Virgin Mary

Authors

8

1 year ago

Tucker Carlson Hosts Mother Agapia Stephanopoulos Amid Backlash Over Israel Anti-Christian Claims and Ted Cruz’s Defense

Tucker Carlson Hosts Mother Agapia Stephanopoulos Amid Backlash Over Israel Anti-Christian Claims and Ted Cruz’s Defense

Authors

14

1 year ago

Syrian FM Meets Israeli Officials, US Envoy in Paris to Discuss 1974 Ceasefire, Golan Buffer Zone, and Druze Region

US Foreign Policy

Syrian FM Meets Israeli Officials, US Envoy in Paris to Discuss 1974 Ceasefire, Golan Buffer Zone, and Druze Region

Authors

7

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Christians

Will I (Aella) convert to Christianity by the end of 2028?

Dec 30, 8:07 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

1.76%chance

192416010

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3580

964

Will Scott Alexander convert to Christianity before 2030?

Jun 18, 3:15 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

7.75%chance

10834087

OptionVotes

NO

YES

992

612

Will Christian Affiliation in the United States Increase Over Five Years?

Apr 25, 11:16 AMDec 31, 11:47 AM

27.7%chance

9615260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9665

3727

Will @aella revert to Christianity within 5 years?

Dec 30, 6:37 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM

4%chance

5412487

OptionVotes

NO

YES

963

955

Will Elon Musk say he is a Christian before 2029?

Feb 12, 11:06 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

16.99%chance

418405

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2211

452

Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026?

Apr 13, 8:53 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

19.29%chance

555029

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2015

243

Will the first ASI proclaim Christianity true?

Feb 10, 1:15 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

10%chance

553128

OptionVotes

NO

YES

136

100

Jordan Peterson becomes an Eastern Orthodox Christian before 2030

Aug 15, 2:26 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

10.85%chance

122830

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2866

349

Christian Democrats still in Riksdag after next election?

Aug 14, 5:41 PMSep 12, 11:59 PM

88.26%chance

102401

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2743

365

Bart Ehrman Will Convert to Esoteric/Gnostic Christianity before 2030?

Sep 30, 6:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

9.71%chance

32050

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3050

328

Will "Christian homeschoolers in the year 3000" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Sep 18, 5:09 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

11.5%chance

3256

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1214

969

Will the percentage of Americans identifying as Christian drop below 20% before 2100?

Apr 14, 4:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.95%chance

467

OptionVotes

YES

NO

131

77

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