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Prediction markets for Christians
Will I (Aella) convert to Christianity by the end of 2028?
Dec 30, 8:07 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
1.77%chance
191415118
OptionVotes
3566
964
OptionVotes
1752
939
OptionVotes
2303
434
OptionVotes
972
930
Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026?
Apr 13, 8:53 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM
38.29%chance
462486
OptionVotes
1464
458
Jordan Peterson becomes an Eastern Orthodox Christian before 2030
Aug 15, 2:26 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
14.48%chance
122330
OptionVotes
2430
411
Christian Democrats still in Riksdag after next election?
Aug 14, 5:41 PMSep 12, 11:59 PM
84.97%chance
72036
OptionVotes
2378
421
Bart Ehrman Will Convert to Esoteric/Gnostic Christianity before 2030?
Sep 30, 6:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
13.33%chance
21550
OptionVotes
2550
392
OptionVotes
431
23
OptionProbability
281
229
Will "Christian homeschoolers in the year 3000" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Sep 18, 5:09 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
11.5%chance
3256
OptionVotes
1214
969
OptionVotes
105
95




