Christmas Eve News

Conditional on Trump getting/not getting Peace Nobel, land conflict with Venezuela before midnight Christmas Eve 2025?

Oct 8, 5:45 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

351483

OptionProbability

No Peace Nobel for Trump, no land conflict with Venezuela

No Peace Nobel for Trump, land conflict with Venezuela

Trump Wins Peace Nobel, no land conflict with Venezuela

Trump Wins Peace Nobel, land conflict with Venezuela

What Big Moves will European Union make before midnight Christmas Eve 2034 (add)

Oct 7, 10:37 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

10601

OptionProbability

Add country(ies)

Relax unanimity requirements

Create Armed forces

Create Reserve like(ish) the US Federal Reserve

Remove a countries voting rights (even for a period)

Expel a country(ies)

Become a country

US strikes within and/or boots on the ground in Nigeria before midnight Christmas Eve 2026?

Nov 1, 11:06 PMDec 24, 11:59 PM

11.65%chance

9401

OptionVotes

YES

275

United Kingdom (or successor) has written codified constitution by Christmas Eve midnight 2034?

Sep 16, 7:31 PMDec 24, 11:59 PM

9.6%chance

6233

OptionVotes

YES

307

Hague Invasion Act invoked before Midnight Christmas Eve 2028?

Oct 26, 10:34 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

16%chance

4161

OptionVotes

YES

229

Mexico summons US ambassador before midnight Christmas Eve 2025?

Aug 21, 2:03 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

40.22%chance

5138

OptionVotes

YES

122

Will federal workers get this Christmas Eve off?

Dec 8, 4:10 PMDec 24, 11:59 PM

41.36%chance

596

OptionVotes

YES

119

Number symbolism in US curriculum 6th grade or below, promulgatory or sceptical, before midnight Christmas Eve 2027?

Nov 29, 6:22 AMDec 23, 11:59 PM

21.69%chance

290

OptionVotes

YES

190

Process formally started to overhaul the Rescue Agreement [for astronauts] before midnight Christmas Eve 2028?

Nov 6, 8:44 PMDec 24, 11:59 PM

30.77%chance

250

OptionVotes

YES

150

Trump challenges War Powers Resolution before midnight Christmas Eve 2028?

Aug 19, 5:30 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

51.94%chance

443

OptionVotes

YES

104

Will US refuse gold repatriation before Christmas Eve midnight 2028?

Oct 22, 7:20 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

44.38%chance

340

OptionVotes

YES

112

Senate or Congressional hearings dealing specifically/exclusively with Wikipedia/WMF by UTC 23:59 Christmas Eve 2027?

Oct 7, 4:06 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

58.2%chance

218

OptionVotes

YES

118

Christmas Eve News

Prediction markets for Christmas Eve

Prediction markets for Christmas Eve

Prediction markets for Christmas Eve

Conditional on Trump getting/not getting Peace Nobel, land conflict with Venezuela before midnight Christmas Eve 2025?

What Big Moves will European Union make before midnight Christmas Eve 2034 (add)

US strikes within and/or boots on the ground in Nigeria before midnight Christmas Eve 2026?

United Kingdom (or successor) has written codified constitution by Christmas Eve midnight 2034?

Hague Invasion Act invoked before Midnight Christmas Eve 2028?

Mexico summons US ambassador before midnight Christmas Eve 2025?

Will federal workers get this Christmas Eve off?

Number symbolism in US curriculum 6th grade or below, promulgatory or sceptical, before midnight Christmas Eve 2027?

Process formally started to overhaul the Rescue Agreement [for astronauts] before midnight Christmas Eve 2028?

Trump challenges War Powers Resolution before midnight Christmas Eve 2028?

Will US refuse gold repatriation before Christmas Eve midnight 2028?

Senate or Congressional hearings dealing specifically/exclusively with Wikipedia/WMF by UTC 23:59 Christmas Eve 2027?

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