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Prediction markets for Christmas Eve

What Big Moves will European Union make before midnight Christmas Eve 2034 (add)

Oct 7, 10:37 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

10631

OptionProbability

Add country(ies)

Relax unanimity requirements

Create Armed forces

Create Reserve like(ish) the US Federal Reserve

Remove a countries voting rights (even for a period)

Expel a country(ies)

Become a country

65

59

55

50

40

30

8

Wikipedia's article on xAi's successor to Grokipedia under title Encyclopedia Galactica by Christmas eve 2027?

May 25, 4:39 AMDec 23, 11:59 PM

9.04%chance

2210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

300

55

Hague Invasion Act invoked before Midnight Christmas Eve 2028?

Oct 26, 10:34 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

12.96%chance

5191

OptionVotes

YES

NO

259

39

Total outage of Deep Space Network for more than 3 months before Christmas Eve 2028?

Aug 27, 4:55 AMDec 23, 11:59 PM

50%chance

2144

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

A fixed structure (not buoy or the like) at Null Island by Christmas Eve 2031, over 75 cm by 75 cm?

Oct 5, 2:07 AMDec 23, 11:59 PM

15.08%chance

3132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

230

52

J. D. Vance join the SSPX in a public manner before Christmas Eve 2028?

Jul 1, 9:17 AMDec 23, 11:59 PM

26%chance

7113

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

99

Will US refuse gold repatriation before Christmas Eve midnight 2028?

Oct 22, 7:20 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

25.27%chance

6100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

172

58

Number symbolism in US curriculum 6th grade or below, promulgatory or sceptical, before midnight Christmas Eve 2027?

Nov 29, 6:22 AMDec 23, 11:59 PM

21.69%chance

290

OptionVotes

YES

NO

190

53

Canadarm2 working by midnight Christmas Eve? (ISS)

Sep 29, 12:37 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

76.42%chance

883

OptionVotes

NO

YES

180

56

Abdourahamane Tiani president of Niger Midnight Christmas Eve 2027?

Sep 5, 9:06 PMDec 24, 11:59 PM

69.51%chance

255

OptionVotes

NO

YES

151

66

Senate or Congressional hearings dealing specifically/exclusively with Wikipedia/WMF by UTC 23:59 Christmas Eve 2027?

Oct 7, 4:06 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

58.2%chance

218

OptionVotes

NO

YES

118

85

PROMISE (OPTIMISM replica of Perseverence Mars Rover) roam the moon by Christmas Eve 2029?

Jul 3, 3:07 AMDec 23, 11:59 PM

28.56%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

98

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