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Prediction markets for Civil War

Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?

Aug 26, 3:21 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

11.93%chance

14960080

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1319

1267

Will a U.S. Civil War occur before January 1st, 2027?

Oct 21, 9:08 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

6.83%chance

4413588

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3695

271

Will there be a civil war in the US in the next 20 years?

Sep 15, 1:46 AMSep 22, 3:59 AM

10%chance

319145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1787

855

Will any of the following Western countries have a civil war by 2030?

Jan 13, 12:43 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

13.57%chance

357348

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1144

950

Will the US will have a Civil War by the end of 2028?

Jul 23, 8:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9%chance

285293

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3180

314

Will There be a Civil War or Violent Revolution in USA by 2030?

Oct 14, 5:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.63%chance

494553

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1431

856

Will there be a civil war in Britain before the end of 2029

Aug 5, 10:47 AMDec 30, 4:59 PM

11.64%chance

314511

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2755

363

Will there be a violent revolution or Civil war in America by 2100?

May 18, 10:12 PMApr 21, 5:59 AM

56%chance

363606

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1025

960

Will there be a civil war in Russia at any point before EOY 2050?

May 6, 12:14 PMDec 31, 7:59 PM

44.73%chance

422973

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1312

591

Republicans win democratically and then end democracy swiftly, satisfying militiants and quelling uprisings; civil war is avoided, but democracy becomes an empty shell and no part of the federal government regains democratic control by 2028

Nov 4, 7:25 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12.55%chance

202169

OptionVotes

NO

YES

986

865

Will there be a civil war in Venezuela before 2050?

Mar 30, 5:33 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

53.9%chance

231451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1364

742

Will Iran have a civil war before the start of 2028?

Jun 22, 5:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.72%chance

9312

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1158

864

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