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Prediction markets for Civil War

Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?

Aug 26, 3:21 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

11%chance

18475774

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1431

1254

Will a U.S. Civil War occur before January 1st, 2027?

Oct 21, 9:08 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

9.52%chance

5014628

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3125

329

Will there be a civil war in the US in the next 20 years?

Sep 15, 1:46 AMSep 22, 3:59 AM

33.52%chance

4410914

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1138

524

Will the US will have a Civil War by the end of 2028?

Jul 23, 8:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.27%chance

429885

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2357

425

Will any of the following Western countries have a civil war by 2030?

Jan 13, 12:43 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.49%chance

407657

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1008

840

Will There be a Civil War or Violent Revolution in USA by 2030?

Oct 14, 5:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.83%chance

586033

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1155

934

Will there be a civil war in Britain before the end of 2029

Aug 5, 10:47 AMDec 30, 4:59 PM

11.08%chance

364636

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2910

362

Will there be a violent revolution or Civil war in America by 2100?

May 18, 10:12 PMApr 21, 5:59 AM

51.33%chance

423977

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1111

862

Will there be a civil war in Russia at any point before EOY 2050?

May 6, 12:14 PMDec 31, 7:59 PM

37.67%chance

423128

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1457

490

Will there be a civil war in Venezuela before 2050?

Mar 30, 5:33 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

52.81%chance

342621

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1341

762

Will Iran have a civil war before the start of 2028?

Jun 22, 5:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.23%chance

181873

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1556

643

[ACX 2026] Will there be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.5%chance

8201

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5180

4868

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