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Prediction markets for Civil War

Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?

Aug 26, 3:21 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

7.63%chance

19281842

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2037

1193

Will a U.S. Civil War occur before January 1st, 2027?

Oct 21, 9:08 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

8.7%chance

5716040

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3285

313

Will there be a civil war in the US in the next 20 years?

Sep 15, 1:46 AMSep 22, 3:59 AM

40%chance

4411724

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1200

418

Will the US will have a Civil War by the end of 2028?

Jul 23, 8:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

17.03%chance

4510035

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2209

453

Will any of the following Western countries have a civil war by 2030?

Jan 13, 12:43 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

20.32%chance

407676

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1027

761

Will There be a Civil War or Violent Revolution in USA by 2030?

Oct 14, 5:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.83%chance

626437

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1201

920

Will there be a civil war in Britain before the end of 2029

Aug 5, 10:47 AMDec 30, 4:59 PM

10.12%chance

394786

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3060

345

Will there be a violent revolution or Civil war in America by 2100?

May 18, 10:12 PMApr 21, 5:59 AM

54%chance

424032

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1062

917

Will there be a civil war in Russia at any point before EOY 2050?

May 6, 12:14 PMDec 31, 7:59 PM

39.15%chance

433148

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1425

510

Will there be a civil war in Venezuela before 2050?

Mar 30, 5:33 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

52.81%chance

342621

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1341

762

Will Iran have a civil war before the start of 2028?

Jun 22, 5:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40%chance

242232

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1225

817

[ACX 2026] Will there be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.48%chance

121435

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5849

4819

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