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Prediction markets for Clash

China-Taiwan military clash when?

Jan 30, 9:24 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

228683

OptionProbability

before December 2025

before 2026

before November 2025

before October 2025

before September 2025

before July 2025

before August 2025

before March 2025

before April 2025

before May 2025

before June 2025

12

12

11

7

4

1

1

0

0

0

0

Will Manifest 2026 clash with an Effective Altruism Global event?

Jun 9, 8:05 AMJul 1, 10:59 PM

35.68%chance

11937

OptionVotes

YES

NO

134

74

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2035?

Oct 24, 7:38 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

88.77%chance

6265

OptionVotes

NO

YES

251

33

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2027?

Oct 24, 7:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

29.88%chance

10229

OptionVotes

YES

NO

159

80

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2029?

Oct 24, 7:34 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

47.7%chance

8200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

113

105

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2028?

Oct 24, 7:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

19.84%chance

6154

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

55

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2032?

Oct 24, 7:36 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

83.17%chance

5140

OptionVotes

NO

YES

156

28

Who will win the clash of civilizations.

Mar 10, 11:11 PMDec 31, 2:59 PM

4130

OptionProbability

Anglos🇺🇸

None

China🇨🇳

Other

Subcontinentals🇮🇳

Orthodoxy🇷🇺

27

26

19

14

9

5

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040?

Oct 24, 7:40 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

78.05%chance

4129

OptionVotes

NO

YES

193

67

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2026?

Oct 24, 7:31 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

16.78%chance

6106

OptionVotes

YES

NO

210

72

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2030?

Oct 24, 7:35 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

40.24%chance

790

OptionVotes

YES

NO

94

85

Before 2026, will a US ship clash with a Chinese ship at Sabina Shoal?

Aug 27, 3:25 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

32.61%chance

245

OptionVotes

YES

NO

144

70

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