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Prediction markets for Classes

Will Harvard Admit a Class that is Less than 10% Black by 2028?

Jun 29, 7:18 PMOct 1, 10:59 PM

39.02%chance

756000

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1263

1146

Will the United States Supreme Court receive a challenge to gender identity as a protected class before 2026?

Apr 30, 12:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26.6%chance

141516

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1710

250

Will SCOTUS rule that gender identity is not a protected class before 2028?

Apr 30, 12:12 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71.74%chance

231422

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1393

789

Will Anthropic lose the Authors’ Copyright Class Action Lawsuit by end of 2026?

Jul 26, 1:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17%chance

131121

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2168

802

A school will integrate a full K-12 curriculum with Roblox, including language classes and virtual field

Sep 10, 3:03 PMSep 8, 3:01 PM

18.11%chance

11836

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1104

960

Will any country newly abolish marriage as a privileged class before 2030?

Jul 8, 1:24 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

17.27%chance

16658

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1166

944

Will A Class Action Lawsuit Be Filed Against Manifold or ManiPlay By End Of 2026?

Dec 21, 11:42 AMJan 9, 4:59 AM

31.68%chance

11640

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1469

681

Will Harvard Admit a Class that is Less than 10% Hispanic by 2028?

Jun 29, 7:23 PMOct 1, 10:59 PM

64.09%chance

15466

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1060

947

What % Asian will the Harvard class of 2028 be?

Jun 30, 12:47 AMDec 30, 7:59 AM

37.3%chance

11340

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1003

986

Will a robot be capable of sculpting marble at the level of world-class sculptors before 2040?

Apr 21, 9:09 AMJan 1, 8:01 AM

61.91%chance

11324

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1045

962

Will Filippo Ganna win another UCI World Championship Time Trial title (in the men's elite class)?

Sep 5, 1:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

57.7%chance

11307

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1132

773

Will more than one world-class winning team in a competitive, physical sport remove rote repetition from their training in favor of an ecological approach to training by 2042?

Dec 23, 9:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.95%chance

11304

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1018

973

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