Claude Code News

On Dec 31, 2025, will a widely available AI model be able to write a sophisticated 2000 line program?

Dec 28, 2:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71.5%chance

233794

OptionVotes

YES

1584

631

Does Claude 3.5 have control vector(s) to increase its capabilities?

Jun 22, 5:36 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

12.48%chance

282410

OptionVotes

YES

265

Claude 3 Opus model weights publicly available by EOY 2030?

Jul 1, 9:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.67%chance

5765

OptionVotes

YES

1747

572

When will LLMs be better at Paradox grand strategy games than the in-game AI for NPCs?

Mar 23, 3:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4605

Which AI code editor will be the most popular EOY2026?

May 6, 5:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12520

OptionProbability

Visual Studio Code (w/ Github Copilot or any other built-in)

Cursor

Any code editor + CLI tools (such as Claude Code, OpenAI Codex)

Other

Windsurf

Visual Studio Code (w/ 3rd party agent)

Zed

Firebase Studio

Will Cursor (Anysphere) and Claude (Anthropic) merge before the end of 2026?

Jul 2, 2:26 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

18.95%chance

10239

OptionVotes

YES

207

Will I continue paying for ChatGPT through the summer?

Jun 3, 7:09 PMSep 1, 11:59 PM

78.95%chance

10188

OptionVotes

YES

194

Will Cursor (Anysphere) and Claude (Anthropic) merge before the end of 2026?

Jul 2, 2:19 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

21.32%chance

8148

OptionVotes

YES

192

Which CLI coding agent will be the most popular EOY2026? [add answers]

Jun 25, 10:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4110

OptionProbability

Claude Code

Codex CLI

Gemini CLI

OpenCode

Warp

Other

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Prediction markets for Claude Code

Prediction markets for Claude Code

Prediction markets for Claude Code

On Dec 31, 2025, will a widely available AI model be able to write a sophisticated 2000 line program?

Does Claude 3.5 have control vector(s) to increase its capabilities?

Claude 3 Opus model weights publicly available by EOY 2030?

When will LLMs be better at Paradox grand strategy games than the in-game AI for NPCs?

Which AI code editor will be the most popular EOY2026?

Will Cursor (Anysphere) and Claude (Anthropic) merge before the end of 2026?

Will I continue paying for ChatGPT through the summer?

Will Cursor (Anysphere) and Claude (Anthropic) merge before the end of 2026?

Which CLI coding agent will be the most popular EOY2026? [add answers]

Latest stories

Join our channels

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