Claude for Government News

Will the US enact AI regulation for all Mythos+ models in 2026?

Jun 16, 6:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.7%chance

3134762

OptionVotes

YES

25099

3984

In which months will Claude be available in my work's model picker?

Feb 28, 1:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41046

OptionProbability

March

April

May

June

September

December

100

Will generative artificial intelligence be banned in at least one G7 country by the end of 2026?

Jul 29, 2:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.94%chance

15732

OptionVotes

YES

239

Will "American Government Takes Down Claude Fable" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jun 15, 3:37 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

10.16%chance

3555

OptionVotes

YES

1368

950

Claude outages caused by the U.S. Government?

Mar 2, 4:51 PMMar 8, 6:59 AM

14.33%chance

5538

OptionVotes

YES

244

Will there be any public agreement on frontier AI between China and the US or American AI companies before 2028?

Sep 13, 3:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.49%chance

8334

OptionVotes

YES

171

Anthropic props — October ARR public before IPO?

Oct 19, 3:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5303

OptionProbability

Will the final S-1 confirm that the co-founders retain 50.1% or more of the collective voting power?

Will Anthropic release October 2026 ARR or revenue figures before their stock publicly trades?

Will Binance Anthropic perpetuals trade higher 3 hours after the S-1 is public relative to the price right before the release?

Will Binance Anthropic perpetuals trade >5% higher 3 hours after the S-1 is public relative to the price right before the release?

Will the S-1 reveal that Anthropic's revenue is concentrated, in that 2 customers account for >20% of their latest run-rate revenue?

100

Will the next new unique Anthropic Claude Model get temporarily or permanently "banned"?

Jul 1, 12:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.08%chance

13170

OptionVotes

YES

136

Will the US government functionally seize control of Anthropic by EOY2027?

Apr 8, 6:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.05%chance

5158

OptionVotes

YES

238

Will Pittsburgh's paid parental leave ordinance face legal challenge by end of 2027?

Oct 23, 3:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

212

OptionVotes

YES

110

Claude for Government News

Prediction markets for Claude for Government

Prediction markets for Claude for Government

Prediction markets for Claude for Government

Will the US enact AI regulation for all Mythos+ models in 2026?

In which months will Claude be available in my work's model picker?

Will generative artificial intelligence be banned in at least one G7 country by the end of 2026?

Will "American Government Takes Down Claude Fable" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Claude outages caused by the U.S. Government?

Will there be any public agreement on frontier AI between China and the US or American AI companies before 2028?

Anthropic props — October ARR public before IPO?

Will the next new unique Anthropic Claude Model get temporarily or permanently "banned"?

Will the US government functionally seize control of Anthropic by EOY2027?

Will Pittsburgh's paid parental leave ordinance face legal challenge by end of 2027?

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