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Prediction markets for Claude for Government

Will Musk pay the salaries of TSA agents during shutdown?

Mar 23, 11:26 AMMay 22, 11:20 AM

1.99%chance

559430

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7019

142

In which months will Claude be available in my work's model picker?

Feb 28, 1:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4960

OptionProbability

March

April

May

June

September

December

100

78

78

78

74

74

Will generative artificial intelligence be banned in at least one G7 country by the end of 2026?

Jul 29, 2:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.94%chance

15732

OptionVotes

YES

NO

239

42

Claude outages caused by the U.S. Government?

Mar 2, 4:51 PMMar 8, 6:59 AM

14.33%chance

5538

OptionVotes

YES

NO

244

41

Will the US government functionally seize control of Anthropic by EOY2027?

Apr 8, 6:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.6%chance

5153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

233

43

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