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Prediction markets for Claude Pro

Best public AI model uses "We" in CoT by EOY 2025?

Jun 1, 7:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.59%chance

287285

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1262

793

Will I think Claude Max is worth $200 by mid December 2025?

Dec 3, 8:52 PMDec 16, 11:59 PM

85.1%chance

132144

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2390

418

Will Claude 4 achieve over 95% on the MMLU-Pro benchmark by end of 2025?

Apr 30, 8:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.34%chance

131252

OptionVotes

YES

NO

859

12

Which one will end up being my favorite, Claude Max or ChatGPT Pro?

Dec 3, 8:48 PMDec 16, 11:59 PM

7814

OptionProbability

Claude Max

ChatGPT Pro

66

34

Has AI surpassed technical but non-mathematician humans at math?

Dec 13, 12:02 AMJan 11, 11:20 PM

75.68%chance

6481

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1331

869

Will it be possible to post to manifold via Claude's Model Context Protocol by EOY2025?

Dec 11, 3:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

90.87%chance

3385

OptionVotes

NO

YES

315

32

Will 'From Keynes to the Machine Age' receive substantive critical engagement from qualified experts by 2026?

Oct 11, 4:16 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

39.02%chance

3250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1250

800

Will an integration for guesstimate/squigglehub to Anthropic Claude's Model Context Protocol (MCP) exist by EOY2025

Dec 14, 9:21 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

23.58%chance

180

OptionVotes

YES

NO

180

56

Will it be possible to post to Twitter via Claude's Model Context Protocol by EOY2026?

Dec 11, 3:01 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

49.01%chance

12

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

98

Will Claude and other base models support the Model Context Protocol (MCP) natively by 2026?

Apr 1, 5:41 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

86.47%chance

22

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3

0

Will any mainstream LLM (Claude, Deepseek,chatgp) recommend (w/o prompting) ppl useofflabel GLP1s 2 live longer by 2028?

Sep 22, 7:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

I SWITCHED FROM CHATGPT PRO TO CLAUDE MAX TODAY. WILL I BE HAPPIER WITH THE RESULTS?

Jun 21, 3:26 AM

120

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