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Top stories

Anthropic to Limit Claude Pro and Max Usage to 40-80 Hours Weekly, Affecting Under 5% of Users Starting August

Anthropic to Limit Claude Pro and Max Usage to 40-80 Hours Weekly, Affecting Under 5% of Users Starting August

Authors

17

5 days ago

Prediction markets for Claude Pro

Will an AI score over 80% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025

Nov 9, 1:06 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

13%chance

112115251

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1303

961

On Dec 31, 2025, will a widely available AI model be able to write a sophisticated 2000 line program?

Dec 28, 2:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71.5%chance

233794

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1584

631

Best public AI model uses "We" in CoT by EOY 2025?

Jun 1, 7:38 PMDec 1, 11:59 PM

21.83%chance

121345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1892

528

[Carlini questions] Cost of a million output words in 2030 for an LLM that achieves at least current benchmark SOTA

Mar 24, 2:14 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

4680

Will Claude 4 achieve over 95% on the MMLU-Pro benchmark by end of 2025?

Apr 30, 8:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.74%chance

12395

OptionVotes

YES

NO

274

36

Will it be possible to post to manifold via Claude's Model Context Protocol by EOY2025?

Dec 11, 3:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

93.98%chance

3305

OptionVotes

NO

YES

395

25

Which lab will publish the model leading OpenRouter monthly rankings EOY 2025?

May 1, 10:59 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

369

OptionProbability

Google DeepMind

OpenAI

Anthropic

DeepSeek

xAI

Meta

Other

28

26

22

9

5

5

5

Will "Research Notes: Running Claude 3.7, Gemini 2...." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 23, 8:50 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

15.79%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1020

885

Will it be possible to post to Twitter via Claude's Model Context Protocol by EOY2026?

Dec 11, 3:01 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

49.01%chance

12

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

98

Will Claude and other base models support the Model Context Protocol (MCP) natively by 2026?

Apr 1, 5:41 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

70%chance

11

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2

1

Will an integration for guesstimate/squigglehub to Anthropic Claude's Model Context Protocol (MCP) exist by EOY2025

Dec 14, 9:21 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

I SWITCHED FROM CHATGPT PRO TO CLAUDE MAX TODAY. WILL I BE HAPPIER WITH THE RESULTS?

Jun 21, 3:26 AM

100

Latest stories

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Jul 28, 2025
Jul 28, 2025
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Anthropic to Limit Claude Pro and Max Usage to 40-80 Hours Weekly, Affecting Under 5% of Users Starting August
Authors
17
5 days ago

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