Claude Projects News

Will there be a massive internet outage before 2028?

Oct 21, 1:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.53%chance

356596

OptionVotes

YES

11161

8960

Will any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of March 2027?

Aug 30, 6:29 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

89.45%chance

265266

OptionVotes

YES

2912

343

Will AI Research Be Mostly Autonomous By June 1 2027?

Mar 19, 2:05 AMMay 31, 11:59 PM

21.87%chance

495255

OptionVotes

YES

189

Will any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of 2026?

Aug 30, 6:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.21%chance

283763

OptionVotes

YES

1653

605

Will I get punished for blindly running AI-generated code in 2026?

Jan 1, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.63%chance

222782

OptionVotes

YES

2323

430

Will AGI create a consensus among experts on how to safely increase AI capabilities?

Mar 12, 8:26 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.82%chance

11970

OptionVotes

YES

1368

731

Which happens first? [Ads in AI][OpenAI vs Anthropic]

Feb 9, 7:33 PMFeb 10, 5:59 AM

7302

OptionProbability

OpenAI significantly expands the scope of Ads in ChatGPT

OpenAI removes ads in ChatGPT

Anthropic adds Ads in one of their primary AI apps (currently Claude)

Will at least one major LLM publicly document graph-based RAG as a core part of its production architecture in 2026?

Jan 20, 10:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.79%chance

5117

OptionVotes

YES

184

Where will Thariq Shihipar end up? [add options]

Oct 24, 10:37 PMDec 31, 11:35 PM

287

OptionProbability

Other

SpaceX/xAI

OpenAI

Claude Projects News

Prediction markets for Claude Projects

Prediction markets for Claude Projects

Prediction markets for Claude Projects

Will there be a massive internet outage before 2028?

Will any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of March 2027?

Will AI Research Be Mostly Autonomous By June 1 2027?

Will any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of 2026?

Will I get punished for blindly running AI-generated code in 2026?

Will AGI create a consensus among experts on how to safely increase AI capabilities?

Which happens first? [Ads in AI][OpenAI vs Anthropic]

Will at least one major LLM publicly document graph-based RAG as a core part of its production architecture in 2026?

Where will Thariq Shihipar end up? [add options]

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