Claude Projects News

Will AI Research Be Mostly Autonomous By June 1 2027?

Mar 19, 2:05 AMMay 31, 11:59 PM

25.93%chance

495232

OptionVotes

YES

169

Will any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of March 2027?

Aug 30, 6:29 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

86.31%chance

193431

OptionVotes

YES

2511

398

Will any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of 2026?

Aug 30, 6:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.01%chance

172834

OptionVotes

YES

1062

942

Will I get punished for blindly running AI-generated code in 2026?

Jan 1, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.19%chance

161981

OptionVotes

YES

1596

626

Will AGI create a consensus among experts on how to safely increase AI capabilities?

Mar 12, 8:26 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.82%chance

11970

OptionVotes

YES

1368

731

Which happens first? [Ads in AI][OpenAI vs Anthropic]

Feb 9, 7:33 PMFeb 10, 5:59 AM

6211

OptionProbability

OpenAI significantly expands the scope of Ads in ChatGPT

OpenAI removes ads in ChatGPT

Anthropic adds Ads in one of their primary AI apps (currently Claude)

Will at least one major LLM publicly document graph-based RAG as a core part of its production architecture in 2026?

Jan 20, 10:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.79%chance

5117

OptionVotes

YES

184

Claude Projects News

Prediction markets for Claude Projects

Prediction markets for Claude Projects

Prediction markets for Claude Projects

Will AI Research Be Mostly Autonomous By June 1 2027?

Will any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of March 2027?

Will any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of 2026?

Will I get punished for blindly running AI-generated code in 2026?

Will AGI create a consensus among experts on how to safely increase AI capabilities?

Which happens first? [Ads in AI][OpenAI vs Anthropic]

Will at least one major LLM publicly document graph-based RAG as a core part of its production architecture in 2026?

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