DeepNewz, mobile.

People-sourced. AI-powered. Unbiased News.

Screenshot of DeepNewz app showing story detail view.

Screenshot of DeepNewz app showing story list view.

Claude Sonnet News

Claude 5 (Anthropic) release date

Jul 25, 6:37 PMJun 30, 6:35 PM

323462707

OptionProbability

Before 2026-09-01

Before 2026-08-01

Before 2026-07-01

Before 2026-06-01

Before August 2025

Before September 2025

Before October 2025

Before November 2025

Before December 2025

Before January 2026

Before February 2026

Before 2026-03-01

Before 2026-04-01

Before 2026-05-01

Before 2026-02-15

Before 2026-02-04

Before 2026-02-08

Before 2026-02-05

Before 2026-02-06

47

41

23

6

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Claude Sonnet 4.6 METR 50% time horizon

Dec 18, 12:39 AMMay 31, 11:37 PM

4913443

OptionProbability

9h - 10h

8.5h - 9h

8h - 8.5h

10h - 11h

12h - 13h

7.5h - 8h

7h - 7.5h

11h - 12h

Other

5h - 5.5h

5.5h - 6h

6h - 6.5h

6.5h - 7h

4.5h - 5h

3h - 3.5h

3.5h - 4h

4h - 4.5h

<2h

2h - 2.5h

2.5h - 3h

22

15

12

12

6

5

4

4

4

3

3

3

3

2

1

1

1

0

0

0

Claude Sonnet 5 METR 50% time horizon

Feb 2, 1:04 PMAug 4, 12:00 AM

3710616

OptionProbability

Other

9h - 10h

3h - 4h

4h - 5h

5h - 6h

6h - 7h

7h - 8h

8h - 9h

<3h

13h - 14h

10h - 11h

11h - 12h

12h - 13h

81

5

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

0

0

0

May 2026 AI model releases

Apr 30, 8:42 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

477273

OptionProbability

GPT-5.x

Gemini 3.x Flash

Qwen 3.6 (or any Qwen model)

Gemini 3.x Pro

Minimax M3 (or any Minimax model)

GLM-5.2 (or any GLM model)

Claude Sonnet 4.7 (or 4.x variant)

Kimi K3 (or any Kimi model)

Any Grok Model

Meta Mango (or any Meta model)

Gemini 3.x Flash-Lite

Claude Haiku 4.6 (or 4.x variant)

Claude Opus 4.8 (or 4.x variant)

Claude Opus 5

GPT-6

Claude Sonnet 5

Claude Mythos (or any variant)

100

91

91

84

82

78

59

54

47

42

27

25

17

10

8

6

6

Will a multi-agent system have its time horizon evaluated by METR before August 2026?

Feb 18, 6:17 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

37.73%chance

111223

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1285

778

Will Claude Sonnet 5 exceed 85% on SWE-bench verified?

Feb 3, 4:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61%chance

18897

OptionVotes

NO

YES

125

80

Will Anthropic release Claude Sonnet 5 and Claude Opus 5 on the same day?

Feb 8, 7:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.53%chance

24604

OptionVotes

YES

NO

151

66

Why is Claude 3.5 Sonnet such a good model for its size?

Jul 11, 8:22 AMJul 19, 6:59 AM

8547

OptionProbability

Pretraining data composition

Doesn't use any scale.ai training data

Offline policy learning RLHf

Task vectors like golden gate Claude

88

63

49

37

Will Claude Sonnet 4.8 be released before May 24?

May 2, 10:54 AMMay 23, 11:59 PM

27.47%chance

19394

OptionVotes

YES

NO

162

62

Will 'From Keynes to the Machine Age' receive substantive critical engagement from qualified experts by 2026?

Oct 11, 4:16 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

39.02%chance

3250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1250

800

Will Claude Sonnet 5 achieve a SOTA score on SciPredict?

Feb 3, 12:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.28%chance

5201

OptionVotes

YES

NO

155

64

Will "Claude Sonnet 3.7 (often) knows when it’s in ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 29, 12:09 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.6%chance

365

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1029

995

Latest stories