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CLI News

Did Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton?

Nov 14, 9:56 PMJan 1, 9:54 PM

1.23%chance

520799728

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9341

126

Will climate change decimate humans before 2050?

Oct 31, 6:40 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.2%chance

14590456

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6961

3818

Will carbon removal be pivotal in mitigating climate change?

Jun 16, 2:20 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

67.7%chance

29334058

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3948

3188

Will a senolytic drug be used clinically to slow, prevent, or reverse aging by the end of 2033?

Apr 10, 12:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.09%chance

15319616

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1722

1481

By end of 2028, will AI be considered a bigger x risk than climate change by the general US population?

Apr 5, 4:25 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61.42%chance

25317819

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2329

1841

Will Bryan Caplan win his climate bet with Yoram Bauman?

Nov 29, 7:19 AMJan 21, 11:59 PM

1.08%chance

397938

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2563

1147

Should smart, ethical people go into AI rather than climate tech? (subsidized)

Oct 17, 6:41 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

68.78%chance

303018

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1022

840

Will there be an attempt of a radical cognitive enhancement program with clinical trials on humans by January 1, 2030?

May 17, 11:14 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

36.8%chance

241865

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4131

3056

Which AI code editor will be the most popular EOY2026?

May 6, 5:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22892

OptionProbability

Visual Studio Code (w/ Github Copilot or any other built-in)

Any code editor + CLI tools (such as Claude Code, OpenAI Codex)

Other

Visual Studio Code (w/ 3rd party agent)

Cursor

Zed

Antigravity

Windsurf

Firebase Studio

47

20

10

6

5

5

5

0

0

Which CLI coding agent will be the most popular EOY2026? [add answers]

Jun 25, 10:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19530

OptionProbability

Claude Code

Codex CLI

Gemini CLI

Other

OpenCode

Warp

Qwen Code

Cursor CLI

77

11

7

2

1

1

1

1

When will Gemini CLI reach version 1.0 (or higher)?

Dec 30, 4:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2155

OptionProbability

June 2026

March 2026

April 2026

May 2026

January 2026

February 2026

July 2026

August 2026

September 2026

October 2026

November 2026

December 2026 (or later)

12

11

11

11

10

10

6

6

6

6

6

6

When will OpenAI codex CLI reach version 1.0 (or higher)?

Dec 30, 4:14 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

1150

OptionProbability

May 2026

June 2026

March 2026

April 2026

January 2026

February 2026

July 2026

August 2026

September 2026

October 2026

November 2026

December 2026 (or later)

12

12

11

11

10

10

6

6

6

6

6

6

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