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Prediction markets for Clippy

Is solipsism true such that I am the only observer?

Apr 24, 4:07 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.93%chance

29892

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1356

864

If OpenAI ever rebrands, what will their new name be?

Jun 5, 2:11 AMJan 1, 6:00 AM

16278

OptionProbability

Other

Something not mentioned at market close

ai.com

Copilot

ZOMBO

Microsoft AI

Technotropic

Brain

Cortana

Clippy

OAI

ClosedAI

Ajar AI

ClopenAI

30

24

21

15

3

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

Will "Being nicer than Clippy" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Mar 6, 11:37 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

15.63%chance

16

OptionVotes

NO

YES

122

108

Has manifold mostly: (A) nerdsniped those who could be doing important research, or (B) helped people make predictions

Mar 26, 1:33 AM

510

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