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Prediction markets for Closed Alpha

When will Slay the Spire 2 be playable by the public?

Apr 10, 6:07 PMMar 3, 1:29 PM

308641

OptionProbability

Before 2026

Before 2025

Before February 2025

Before March 2025

Before April 2025

Before May 2025

Before June 2025

Before July 2025

Before August 2025

Before September 2025

Before October 2025

Before November 2025

Before December 2025

2

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

DeepSeek V3.2 wins Alpha Arena Season 1.5

Nov 11, 1:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.75%chance

126003

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4049

247

If/when humans send a mission to Alpha Centauri, will the subjective time experienced by the craft be more than 20 years?

Nov 11, 4:03 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

63.1%chance

9126

OptionVotes

NO

YES

270

163

If humanity survives this century, what beta will we retroactively assign to our survival at the 1st Jan 2024

Jun 13, 11:38 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

17%chance

3122

OptionProbability

NO

YES

285

169

Will there be a psychedelics + closed-loop TMS paper by EOY2028?

Nov 11, 11:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

56.48%chance

451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

88

If humanity survives this century, what alpha will we retroactively assign to our survival at the 1 Jan 2024 (minus one)

Jun 13, 11:45 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

10.03%chance

00

OptionProbability

NO

YES

250

250

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