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Prediction markets for Cloud

Will there be a serious European cloud offering in 2028?

Apr 5, 5:54 PMApr 30, 12:59 AM

21.32%chance

383390

OptionVotes

YES

NO

378

256

Will either Gartner or IDC claim that by 2032, cloud spending quadrupled from 2022? (1,000 subsidy)

Jan 4, 6:31 PMMar 31, 2:59 AM

83%chance

91949

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2421

680

AI "devops" #2: Will there be an AI that can help manage cloud infrastructure by 2030?

May 4, 9:06 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

78.28%chance

101893

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

975

Who will be market leader in Cloud Gaming by 2030?

Aug 3, 11:42 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7386

OptionProbability

Microsoft Xbox

Nvidia GeForce Now

Sony Playstation

Amazon Gaming

Google Stadia 2.0

Nintendo

Tencent

Other

36

32

7

5

5

5

5

5

AI reduces public cloud spending by end of 2027?

Nov 6, 5:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.62%chance

6331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

59

When will Cloud Gaming / Game Streaming overtake Traditional "Local" Console Gaming? 🎮🕹️👾🏆⚔️

Mar 18, 5:48 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

9198

OptionProbability

2033 to 2036

2029 to 2032

2025 to 2028

After 2036

Never

26

21

18

17

17

Will the Clouded Leopard (Neofelis nebulosa) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 30, 6:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

29.14%chance

5179

OptionVotes

YES

NO

595

443

Which Cloud Provider will have the next major outage?

Dec 6, 5:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6118

OptionProbability

AWS

Azure

Cloudflare

Oracle Cloud

GCP

38

38

10

8

6

Will anyone claim a $250k vulnerability bounty from Apple's Private Cloud Compute Virtual Research Environment by 2028?

Oct 25, 1:11 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.1%chance

2102

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1002

998

Xbox offers 1 more hardware console generation before becoming cloud-only by EOY 2028?

Oct 4, 3:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.77%chance

350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

Exit valuation of Zelos Cloud (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:40 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

240

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

60

14

14

11

Favorite cloud-computing platform?

Oct 12, 5:37 PMOct 13, 5:36 PM

220

OptionProbability

Amazon AWS

Microsoft Azure

Google Cloud

Other

41

21

21

16

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