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Prediction markets for Cloud

Will google announce the closure of google cloud before 2026

Jan 12, 12:24 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

1%chance

4222249

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9956

695

Will GCP still be a significant cloud provider by the end of 2025?

Sep 30, 9:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

99%chance

176951

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7521

778

Will Google announce the closure of Google Cloud on or before 2025

Sep 25, 1:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.45%chance

235429

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4802

761

Will either Gartner or IDC claim that by 2032, cloud spending quadrupled from 2022? (1,000 subsidy)

Jan 4, 6:31 PMMar 31, 2:59 AM

83%chance

91949

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2421

680

AI "devops" #2: Will there be an AI that can help manage cloud infrastructure by 2030?

May 4, 9:06 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

78.28%chance

101893

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

975

Will AWS remain the market share leader in cloud infrastructure services by Q4 2025?

Mar 22, 11:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

89.79%chance

141197

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1891

832

AI reduces public cloud spending by end of 2027?

Nov 6, 5:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.62%chance

6331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

59

Will anyone claim a $250k vulnerability bounty from Apple's Private Cloud Compute Virtual Research Environment by 2028?

Oct 25, 1:11 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.1%chance

2102

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1002

998

Xbox offers 1 more hardware console generation before becoming cloud-only by EOY 2028?

Oct 4, 3:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.77%chance

350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

Exit valuation of Zelos Cloud (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:40 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

240

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

60

14

14

11

Will Cloud Providers see greater revenue growth in 2025 than AI companies?

Apr 18, 5:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

324

OptionProbability

Yes

No

51

49

Favorite cloud-computing platform?

Oct 12, 5:37 PMOct 13, 5:36 PM

220

OptionProbability

Amazon AWS

Microsoft Azure

Google Cloud

Other

41

21

21

16

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