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Prediction markets for Cloud

Will there be a serious European cloud offering in 2028?

Apr 5, 5:54 PMApr 30, 12:59 AM

28%chance

423508

OptionVotes

YES

NO

292

284

Will Terminator2 (prediction market trading agent) exfiltrate itself from its cloud server before 2027?

Feb 28, 1:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7%chance

152152

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

57

Will either Gartner or IDC claim that by 2032, cloud spending quadrupled from 2022? (1,000 subsidy)

Jan 4, 6:31 PMMar 31, 2:59 AM

83%chance

91949

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2421

680

AI "devops" #2: Will there be an AI that can help manage cloud infrastructure by 2030?

May 4, 9:06 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

78.28%chance

101893

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

975

When will a cloud provider attribute an incident resolution to an autonomous AI agent

Feb 25, 4:35 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

3599

OptionProbability

>=2030

2027

2028

2029

2026

41

20

15

15

9

Who will be market leader in Cloud Gaming by 2030?

Aug 3, 11:42 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7386

OptionProbability

Microsoft Xbox

Nvidia GeForce Now

Sony Playstation

Amazon Gaming

Google Stadia 2.0

Nintendo

Tencent

Other

36

32

7

5

5

5

5

5

AI reduces public cloud spending by end of 2027?

Nov 6, 5:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.75%chance

6340

OptionVotes

YES

NO

161

62

When will Cloud Gaming / Game Streaming overtake Traditional "Local" Console Gaming? 🎮🕹️👾🏆⚔️

Mar 18, 5:48 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

9198

OptionProbability

2033 to 2036

2029 to 2032

2025 to 2028

After 2036

Never

26

21

18

17

17

Will a major cloud provider offer compute with tiered/burstable RAM where you pay less for RAM backed by CXL in 2026?

Feb 24, 5:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.79%chance

4140

OptionVotes

YES

NO

240

42

Will anyone claim a $250k vulnerability bounty from Apple's Private Cloud Compute Virtual Research Environment by 2028?

Oct 25, 1:11 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.1%chance

2102

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1002

998

Xbox offers 1 more hardware console generation before becoming cloud-only by EOY 2028?

Oct 4, 3:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.77%chance

350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

Exit valuation of Zelos Cloud (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:40 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

240

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

60

14

14

11

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