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Prediction markets for Cloud 100

Anthropic share of OpenRouter tokens (%)

Sep 4, 3:33 PM

191007457

Will the second coming of Jesus Christ happen within the next 100 years?

Mar 19, 1:36 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4%chance

152017

OptionVotes

YES

NO

875

123

When will Tesla in-car Grok be able to control grok bots for you while you drive?

Sep 2, 8:39 AMJan 2, 7:38 AM

5530

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2028

Before Oct 2027

Before Jul 2027

Before Apr 2027

Before Jan 2027

64

54

48

30

20

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

Jul 22, 10:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.91%chance

7487

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1319

797

China provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?

Oct 30, 12:17 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

52.33%chance

6247

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1115

1009

David Walliams publicly disgraced by 2027

Dec 19, 11:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.19%chance

5228

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1101

908

Will there be a new TRIUMPH OF THE WILL -like film centered on MAGA/Trump by EOY2028?

Jan 20, 9:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.87%chance

332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

Will a practically useful cryptographic program obfuscation scheme be invented before 2035?

Feb 23, 7:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Recommend me classical playlists on your favorite music streaming platform.

Jul 29, 11:26 PMJul 30, 3:59 AM

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