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Prediction markets for Cloud Platform

Russian gaming console launched before 2029?

Apr 3, 11:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.99%chance

13879

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1362

879

When will Anthropic release its next Claude Fable model (newer than Fable 5.1)?

Oct 24, 2:50 AMDec 5, 11:59 PM

15874

OptionProbability

Nov 8 – Nov 21

Nov 22 – Dec 5

Not by Dec 5

By Nov 7

58

20

19

3

When will Tesla in-car Grok be able to control grok bots for you while you drive?

Sep 2, 8:39 AMJan 2, 7:38 AM

5530

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2028

Before Oct 2027

Before Jul 2027

Before Apr 2027

Before Jan 2027

64

54

48

30

20

When will Qwen-Image-2.0 weights become publicly available?

Feb 11, 5:07 AMJul 1, 4:06 AM

4528

OptionProbability

July 1, 2027 or later

Jan 1, 2027 – June 30, 2027

July 1, 2026 – Dec 31, 2026

Before July 1, 2026

42

41

11

6

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

Jul 22, 10:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.91%chance

7487

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1319

797

Will credible evidence emerge before 2027 that Meta can access the content of WhatsApp messages despite end-to-end encry

Jan 27, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.56%chance

13299

OptionVotes

YES

NO

252

40

Will CRWV270115C00140000 expire in-the-money?

Jan 20, 3:03 PMJan 15, 4:00 PM

11.36%chance

4239

OptionVotes

YES

NO

279

36

Now Google buys Dave & Buster’s in 2036

Feb 10, 3:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.23%chance

2160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

75

Will there be a new TRIUMPH OF THE WILL -like film centered on MAGA/Trump by EOY2028?

Jan 20, 9:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.87%chance

332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

Favorite cloud-computing platform?

Oct 12, 5:37 PMOct 13, 5:36 PM

231

OptionProbability

Amazon AWS

Microsoft Azure

Google Cloud

Other

39

20

20

20

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