Cloud Run News

Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

Mar 7, 1:33 AMMar 14, 1:28 AM

19947933

OptionProbability

YES - The AI, without being prompted to, took actions to breach its sandbox, including to gain crypto and an external connection

NO - The authors are wrong/lying and there was no such hack

NO - The servers were hacked by an outside party, perhaps via prompt injection

NO - An employee (or other insider) was crypto-mining and made it look like the LLM

I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?

Dec 21, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16.36%chance

777061

OptionVotes

YES

2141

1245

Will Terminator2 (prediction market trading agent) exfiltrate itself from its cloud server before 2027?

Feb 28, 1:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7%chance

152152

OptionVotes

YES

102

In what year will we confirm that there is a "machine economy"?

Nov 12, 5:02 AMNov 19, 3:59 PM

71121

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2025

2028

Other

2023

2024

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

Jul 22, 10:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.91%chance

7487

OptionVotes

YES

1319

797

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^25 FLOP in China before 2027?

Jun 1, 6:47 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

81.62%chance

6459

OptionVotes

YES

196

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^27 FLOP in China before 2028?

Jun 1, 6:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

43.99%chance

5142

OptionVotes

YES

121

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2028?

Jun 1, 6:50 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

84.57%chance

6138

OptionVotes

YES

203

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2029?

Jun 1, 6:50 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

83.11%chance

370

OptionVotes

YES

140

Will a practically useful cryptographic program obfuscation scheme be invented before 2035?

Feb 23, 7:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

100

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^30 FLOP in China before 2035?

Jun 1, 6:53 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

33.78%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

Will any sovereign-AI deal ≥$10B be announced before 2026-12-31?

May 4, 8:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.5%chance

OptionVotes

YES

102

Cloud Run News

Prediction markets for Cloud Run

Prediction markets for Cloud Run

Prediction markets for Cloud Run

Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?

Will Terminator2 (prediction market trading agent) exfiltrate itself from its cloud server before 2027?

In what year will we confirm that there is a "machine economy"?

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^25 FLOP in China before 2027?

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^27 FLOP in China before 2028?

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2028?

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2029?

Will a practically useful cryptographic program obfuscation scheme be invented before 2035?

Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^30 FLOP in China before 2035?

Will any sovereign-AI deal ≥$10B be announced before 2026-12-31?

Latest stories