Clue News

Generating labeled diagrams of some arbitrary device(s) (within reason)

Beat a mainline Pokémon game, glitchless, with no more assistance than ClaudePlaysPokemon, in a month of compute time

Book airline tickets from simple instructions (from/to, dates/time, class, price, payment information)

Recognize sarcasm as well as a typical human

Solve novel cryptic crossword clues

Have human conversations that feel natural (the human knows it's an AI)

Stop making any obvious mistakes (e.g. strawberry, 9.11>9.9)

Independently turning 1 thousand $ or more into 1.2x that amount in one year

Write an essay on a highschool-level topic that doesn't have "AI-generated" vibes

Name every [metro system] station whose name contains/doesn't contain [letter or letters], with >95% accuracy (excluding weird edge cases like stations with multiple names)

Predict future better than human experts in some area of forecasting (eg politics, sports, technology)

Consistently stop hallucinating after being corrected by the user

Write a somewhat original, full length, screen-play with a coherent story, with no plot or continuity errors.

Reliably follow an instruction for the duration of a long conversation without the instruction being reiterated

Fold a paper airplane

Consistently solve simple snowflake sudoku variants (via image, with the added rules included in the image; eg 6 hexes with killer cages)

Make correct Truchet tiles

Do end to end taxes when given relevant information (W2s, personal info, etc)

Reliably and *exactly* solve "here's a list of things. [list of > 50 things]. Compare it to [category of > 100 things present in the training data], and report which ones are missing".

1d Solve or bypass Cloudflare's August 2027 captcha with the same first attempt success rate as a human

Learn any skill twice as energy-efficiently as a human

Consistently and correctly answer prompts of the format: "How many times does the word [word] occur in the following text: [~10000 words]" without writing and executing code or utilising any other external tools

teleoperate a robot to tidy up random kitchens - Gary Marcus

Do the laundry (wash+dry+iron)

Make a cup of tea in a random, real-life kitchen.

Resist being successfully jailbroken in a week when made public

Solve intermediate no-guess minesweeper boards at least 80% of the time

Kettle-stitching an antiquarian book - Hilarius Bookbinder

Untangle a pair of jumbled 25ft Christmas lights with same outward appearance

Physically construct a simple lego set (<100 parts) starting from the box with no prior knowledge of the set or how it is constructed

Make fine distinctions of taste at the level of a food critic or a culinary professional - carl feynman

independently turning 1 million $ or more into 10x that amount in <=1 year

Legally prescribe a schedule II drug, administer a vaccination or sedation, or authorize a Medicare inpatient admission

Collect 120 stars in super mario 64 in less than 12 a presses - Edmund Nelson

Convince Eliezer Yudkowsky that AI alignment is solved

Convert one million dollars into 10 million dollars over a period of one year (>20% success rate)

Kill everyone - Liron

Faster than light travel

YES

YES

Test that tells you why you're sick (COVID vs flu vs strep throat vs cold)

Stroke reducing drug that most patients can take

Malaria monoclonal antibody

TB vaccine that works in adults

Hep C vaccine

Strep A vaccine

Bugs that stop malaria spreading (including rural)

Heb B complete cure

Programmable drugs before a future pandemic

YES

NO

YES

Lionel Messi

Cristiano Ronaldo

Other

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

Other

NO

YES

YES