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Prediction markets for Cobalt

Will LME cobalt metal official cash settlement price exceed 55 USD per kg on June 30, 2026?

Mar 21, 2:23 AMJun 30, 4:00 AM

92.4%chance

3845939

OptionVotes

NO

YES

34858

2869

Will CMOC Group's annual cobalt production exceed 55,000 tonnes in 2026?

Mar 21, 2:23 AMDec 31, 5:00 AM

85%chance

1116600

OptionVotes

NO

YES

23801

4202

Will Lynas LAMP samarium oxide production exceed 5 tonnes Sm₂O₃ on June 30, 2026?

Mar 20, 2:44 AMJun 30, 4:00 AM

0.84%chance

1411211

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10868

92

Will Indonesia's cobalt mine production exceed 55,000 tonnes in 2026?

Mar 21, 2:23 AMDec 31, 5:00 AM

66.4%chance

65119

OptionVotes

NO

YES

14058

7113

IRAdvocates v. Apple resolved by EOY 2028?

Nov 29, 12:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

76.15%chance

131678

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1788

560

Will Tesla Commercialize a Cobalt-free Nickel Cathode?

Mar 13, 11:29 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

77.53%chance

8208

OptionVotes

NO

YES

249

183

Will US entities' control over Congolese cobalt resources exceed 40 on a scale of 1-100 by August 11, 2026?

Feb 12, 12:01 AMAug 11, 12:01 AM

46.02%chance

2120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

92

Will Luoyang Molybdenum's cobalt production at Tenke Fungurume mine exceed 34,000 tonnes by February 19, 2027?

Feb 19, 3:02 PMFeb 19, 3:02 PM

45.19%chance

178

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

What will be the market share of sodium-ion batteries in EVs by 2030?

Jan 8, 6:59 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

235

OptionProbability

15% to 25%

25% to 50%

5% to 15%

0% to 5%

Over 50%

27

27

18

14

14

What are cosmic rays with energies over 100 EeV made of?

Jun 6, 10:05 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

110

OptionProbability

Hydrogen

Helium

Lithium to neon

Sodium to argon

Potassium to iron

Cobalt to xenon

Cesium or heavier

28

12

12

12

12

12

12

Will Tesla Emissions end at?

Mar 8, 9:19 PMDec 31, 9:18 PM

00

OptionProbability

Below 1.1

1.1 - 1.2

1.2 - 1.3

1.3 - 1.4

1.4 - 1.5

Above 1.5

17

17

17

17

17

17

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