Code Assist News

Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?

Jul 22, 2:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.2%chance

17132633

OptionVotes

YES

14073

7523

Will Lean mathlib contain more than 10 million lines of code by 2030?

Jan 1, 2:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.62%chance

4114719

OptionVotes

YES

14127

7079

Will there be any simple text-based task that most humans can solve, but top LLMs can't? By the end of 2026

Jul 14, 8:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

62.94%chance

372146

OptionVotes

YES

1014

884

Will GitHub release an assistant, similar to Copilot, able to insert comments in code by 2028?

May 27, 10:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

78.07%chance

121967

OptionVotes

YES

1887

530

Will an AI agent autonomously discover and report a novel security vulnerability (assigned CVE) by end of 2026?

Feb 12, 11:07 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

94.32%chance

191734

OptionVotes

YES

775

Will any of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved with zero to minimal AI use?

Sep 9, 2:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.59%chance

71205

OptionVotes

YES

1985

843

Will Cursor (Anysphere) and Claude (Anthropic) merge before the end of 2026?

Jul 2, 2:19 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

5.34%chance

221076

OptionVotes

YES

421

2030 – 2. We interact with a wide range of AIs in our daily lives as naturally as we interact with other humans today

Mar 11, 12:07 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

88.83%chance

141045

OptionVotes

YES

1519

876

Will there be a junior-level coding assistant that can do unguided meaningful code contributions by 2028?

Feb 14, 9:45 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

86.53%chance

16377

OptionVotes

YES

1306

922

Which of Simon Willison's predictions from 2026 will come true?

Jan 14, 2:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6257

OptionProbability

3 years: Someone will build a new browser using mainly AI-assisted coding and it won’t even be a surprise

1 year: It will become undeniable that LLMs write good code

1 year: We’re finally going to solve sandboxing

1 year: Kākāpō parrots will have an outstanding breeding season

3 years: the coding agents Jevons paradox for software engineering will resolve, one way or the other

6 years: Typing code by hand will go the way of punch cards

1 year: A “Challenger disaster” for coding agent security

100

Will AI-assisted coding replace manual coding as the default teaching approach in programming schools by 2036?

Jan 20, 9:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80.31%chance

5118

OptionVotes

YES

202

Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?

Aug 1, 4:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.76%chance

173

OptionVotes

YES

119

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Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?

Will Lean mathlib contain more than 10 million lines of code by 2030?

Will there be any simple text-based task that most humans can solve, but top LLMs can't? By the end of 2026

Will GitHub release an assistant, similar to Copilot, able to insert comments in code by 2028?

Will an AI agent autonomously discover and report a novel security vulnerability (assigned CVE) by end of 2026?

Will any of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved with zero to minimal AI use?

Will Cursor (Anysphere) and Claude (Anthropic) merge before the end of 2026?

2030 – 2. We interact with a wide range of AIs in our daily lives as naturally as we interact with other humans today

Will there be a junior-level coding assistant that can do unguided meaningful code contributions by 2028?

Which of Simon Willison's predictions from 2026 will come true?

Will AI-assisted coding replace manual coding as the default teaching approach in programming schools by 2036?

Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?

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