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Prediction markets for Collab

Will at least 25 nations collaborate to develop and enforce unified AI development standards internationally by 2035?

Jan 14, 1:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

78.44%chance

7412334

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1927

1123

Will Google Deepmind and OpenAI have a major collaborative initiative by the end of 2030? (1000 mana subsidy)

Jun 19, 7:06 AMDec 30, 9:39 PM

52.59%chance

767314

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2494

1805

Will there be a One Piece collaboration with Fortnite by the end of 2026?

Mar 6, 3:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

74.11%chance

526341

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1061

601

Will a Jony Ive and Sam Altman collaboration lead to a hardware device intended for consumer use, released before 2030.

Sep 28, 1:58 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

73.01%chance

285333

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1356

824

What kind of device will the Johnny Ive OpenAI collaboration first release? [Suggest options]

May 22, 7:01 AMDec 31, 7:56 AM

424583

OptionProbability

Earbuds

Smart speaker (Amazon Echo-style)

Pen

Other

Phone

AR/VR Goggles

Watch

Wearable badge

46

31

11

9

2

0

0

0

Will Elon Musk actually ship a rocket car collaboration between SpaceX and Tesla as stated to Don Lemon by EOY 2035?

Mar 19, 3:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61.84%chance

663950

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1489

644

German "Brandmauer" (AfD collaboration ban) falls before EOY 2026? (official coalition)

Oct 27, 10:27 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

6.53%chance

171817

OptionVotes

YES

NO

378

26

Will there be a collab between Manifold and Kinnu before 2027?

Apr 4, 5:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.5%chance

161267

OptionVotes

YES

NO

167

60

Will Elon Musk unveil a rocket car collaboration between SpaceX and Tesla as stated to Don Lemon by EOY 2035?

Mar 18, 7:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

73.79%chance

10365

OptionVotes

NO

YES

429

148

How common will Jury Nullification be in the following years, according to a funded collaborative review?

May 1, 4:16 AMMar 2, 7:59 AM

589

OptionProbability

2027

2026

2024

2025

2029

33

30

26

26

20

If there is a One Piece collaboration with Fortnite what will be in it? [ADD RESPONSES]

Mar 16, 6:49 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

465

OptionProbability

Gear 5

Enma (zoro sword) pickaxe

Luffy skin

Straw hat

Nami skin

Usopp skin

Zoro skin

Whale / Laboon glider

66

66

60

59

59

53

50

50

Will the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA Collaboration publish evidence of "gravitational wave echoes" by EOY 2030

Mar 12, 12:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5%chance

12

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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