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Prediction markets for Collab

Will at least 25 nations collaborate to develop and enforce unified AI development standards internationally by 2035?

Jan 14, 1:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

78.44%chance

7412334

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1927

1123

Will Google Deepmind and OpenAI have a major collaborative initiative by the end of 2030? (1000 mana subsidy)

Jun 19, 7:06 AMDec 30, 9:39 PM

31.84%chance

778757

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3509

1069

What kind of device will the Johnny Ive OpenAI collaboration first release? [Suggest options]

May 22, 7:01 AMDec 31, 7:56 AM

435358

OptionProbability

Smart speaker (Amazon Echo-style)

Pen

Earbuds

Other

AR/VR Goggles

Phone

Watch

Wearable badge

94

4

1

1

0

0

0

0

Will a Jony Ive and Sam Altman collaboration lead to a hardware device intended for consumer use, released before 2030.

Sep 28, 1:58 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

73.01%chance

285333

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1356

824

Will Elon Musk actually ship a rocket car collaboration between SpaceX and Tesla as stated to Don Lemon by EOY 2035?

Mar 19, 3:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65.92%chance

674233

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1602

581

Will there be a collab between Manifold and Kinnu before 2027?

Apr 4, 5:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.5%chance

161267

OptionVotes

YES

NO

167

60

Will there be a Yu Gi Oh collaboration with Fortnite before the end of 2027?

Mar 18, 2:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22.04%chance

4132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

290

93

How common will Jury Nullification be in the following years, according to a funded collaborative review?

May 1, 4:16 AMMar 2, 7:59 AM

6129

OptionProbability

2027

2026

2024

2025

2029

26

24

22

22

20

Will there be a Harry Potter collaboration with Fortnite before the end of 2027?

Mar 18, 5:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.21%chance

579

OptionVotes

YES

NO

215

122

Will Sakee (皇昶枢 MULA SAKEE) and Asen (艾志恒) reconcile or collaborate again before the end of 2027?

Nov 5, 4:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.44%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

952

Will a video featuring a collaboration between Corridor Crew and Red Letter Media be posted before the end of 2028?

May 6, 12:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.99%chance

12

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

98

Will Markus Buehler and Ethan Mollick collab on a paper together?

Aug 29, 8:22 PM

00

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