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Prediction markets for Collab

Will at least 25 nations collaborate to develop and enforce unified AI development standards internationally by 2035?

Jan 14, 1:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

78.44%chance

7412334

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1927

1123

Will Google Deepmind and OpenAI have a major collaborative initiative by the end of 2030? (1000 mana subsidy)

Jun 19, 7:06 AMDec 30, 9:39 PM

52.59%chance

767314

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2494

1805

Will there be a One Piece collaboration with Fortnite by the end of 2026?

Mar 6, 3:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

44.22%chance

505483

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1311

206

Will a Jony Ive and Sam Altman collaboration lead to a hardware device intended for consumer use, released before 2030.

Sep 28, 1:58 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

86.58%chance

275033

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2328

593

Will Elon Musk actually ship a rocket car collaboration between SpaceX and Tesla as stated to Don Lemon by EOY 2035?

Mar 19, 3:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.11%chance

663880

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1421

689

What kind of device will the Johnny Ive OpenAI collaboration first release? [Suggest options]

May 22, 7:01 AMDec 31, 7:56 AM

343091

OptionProbability

Pen

Earbuds

Other

Phone

Smart speaker (Amazon Echo-style)

AR/VR Goggles

Watch

Wearable badge

51

30

14

3

1

0

0

0

Will NASA and the ESA still be collaboratively pursuing the LISA gravitational wave mission in 2028?

Jan 10, 5:39 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

87.24%chance

5154

OptionVotes

NO

YES

268

84

Will there be an official One Piece Lego collaboration before Jan 1st 2029?

Dec 17, 7:02 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

75.31%chance

10118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

288

172

How common will Jury Nullification be in the following years, according to a funded collaborative review?

May 1, 4:16 AMMar 2, 7:59 AM

488

OptionProbability

2027

2026

2024

2025

2029

34

30

26

26

20

Will there be a Harry Potter collaboration with Fortnite before the end of 2027?

Mar 18, 5:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.21%chance

579

OptionVotes

YES

NO

215

122

If there is a One Piece collaboration with Fortnite what will be in it? [ADD RESPONSES]

Mar 16, 6:49 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

465

OptionProbability

Gear 5

Enma (zoro sword) pickaxe

Luffy skin

Straw hat

Nami skin

Usopp skin

Zoro skin

Whale / Laboon glider

66

66

60

59

59

53

50

50

Will the US create an antitrust safe harbor for AI safety & security collaboration by 2028?

Apr 28, 1:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

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