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Prediction markets for Collectibles

By the end of 2028, will there be a public scandal about someone's brain signals being collected or analyzed without their consent?

Feb 9, 10:58 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

40%chance

24919563

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2714

1726

By 2030 will 𝕏 show clear evidence of becoming a collective consciousness?

Nov 25, 11:02 PMDec 30, 4:59 PM

17.38%chance

3715329

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20734

2190

Will Armenia withdraw from the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) by the end of 2027?

Oct 26, 4:29 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM

43.97%chance

171698

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1376

291

Will Armenia withdraw from the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) by the end of 2026?

Oct 26, 4:29 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM

39.19%chance

16891

OptionVotes

YES

NO

183

60

Will the United States confiscate privately owned gold collections before 2035?

Mar 29, 6:56 PMDec 31, 10:00 AM

3.25%chance

10823

OptionVotes

YES

NO

614

116

By the end of 2028, will there be a public scandal about data collected from people's brain signals?

Feb 9, 10:57 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

48.85%chance

15544

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1079

873

By 2045, will it be possible to experience collective consciousness through shared cognitive technology?

Feb 18, 12:31 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

30.85%chance

26447

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

987

Will there be a high-profile collective lawsuit in the USA over long-term side-effects of a COVID-19 vaccine by 2060?

Aug 31, 11:30 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

26.16%chance

12212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

237

158

Will the Research Domain Criteria term return more than 50,000 results on Web of Science core collection, on 01/01/2030?

Mar 7, 12:56 PMJan 1, 11:00 AM

24.48%chance

2182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

48

Will the Smithsonian Institute sell, destroy, or otherwise deaccession parts of its collection by the end of 2026?

Mar 28, 9:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5173

OptionProbability

1 or more item deaccessioned

10 or more items deaccessioned

100 or more items deaccessioned

5 or more items specifically destroyed

1 or more item deaccessioned specifically for "improper ideology"

80

50

36

23

17

Will Canada pass a Warrantless mass data collection law, as part of Bill C-22, in 2026?

May 23, 7:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.54%chance

9106

OptionVotes

YES

NO

116

86

Will chatGPT (or an analogue) be able to query the entire text of anyone's entire Goodreads collection list by EOY 2027?

Feb 22, 2:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

66.22%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

90

56

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