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Prediction markets for Collectibles

By the end of 2028, will there be a public scandal about someone's brain signals being collected or analyzed without their consent?

Feb 9, 10:58 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

40%chance

24919563

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2714

1726

By 2030 will 𝕏 show clear evidence of becoming a collective consciousness?

Nov 25, 11:02 PMDec 30, 4:59 PM

35.39%chance

329654

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15059

4141

Will Armenia withdraw from the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) by the end of 2027?

Oct 26, 4:29 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM

79.7%chance

141295

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1035

977

Who will break the 5/5 stranglehold on Super Mario 64 speedrunning and collect the world record bounty?

Feb 18, 1:32 AMJul 12, 6:34 PM

151103

OptionProbability

Weegee

Benji

Other

Karin

Slipperynip

Parsee (秋珈嶺奈)

Treybordo

cjrokokomero

GTM

Cheese

30

17

13

11

7

5

4

4

4

4

Will the United States confiscate privately owned gold collections before 2035?

Mar 29, 6:56 PMDec 31, 10:00 AM

3.19%chance

10813

OptionVotes

YES

NO

624

115

By the end of 2028, will there be a public scandal about data collected from people's brain signals?

Feb 9, 10:57 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

48.85%chance

15544

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1079

873

By 2045, will it be possible to experience collective consciousness through shared cognitive technology?

Feb 18, 12:31 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

30.85%chance

26447

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

987

Will members of the Gale Family collectively receive over $50,000 by being family-style "Man-Influencers" (Manifold Influencers) by 2050?

Dec 30, 7:28 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

5.38%chance

9374

OptionVotes

YES

NO

249

156

will prerat be around and collecting mana from manifold markets in 100 years?

Feb 24, 6:03 AMFeb 24, 6:59 AM

14.24%chance

8304

OptionVotes

YES

NO

439

133

Will the Research Domain Criteria term return more than 50,000 results on Web of Science core collection, on 01/01/2030?

Mar 7, 12:56 PMJan 1, 11:00 AM

24.48%chance

2182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

48

Will more than 5% of p(doom) come alone from autistic people collectively not known to de-escalate when they could have?

Sep 21, 8:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.59%chance

365

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

48

Will there be a new record for most expensive stamp collecting related item by the end of 2026?

Oct 17, 4:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.38%chance

311

OptionVotes

YES

NO

101

99

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