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Prediction markets for Color

Real person of color exists before 2045?

Jun 10, 5:40 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

79.79%chance

143465

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1987

503

Will the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Champion have an animal mascot AND a primary team color of blue? March Madness

Feb 26, 1:37 AMApr 10, 12:00 AM

48%chance

81586

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1041

961

Which of the following "colors" of hydrogen will be the cheapest by 2030? [details in description]

Oct 22, 9:00 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

9555

OptionProbability

black/brown (coal gasification)

green (renewable electricity + water electrolysis)

gray (steam methane reforming)

white/gold (geologic: stimulated serpentinization or microbial biogeochemistry)

pink (nuclear electricity + water electrolysis)

blue (steam methane reforming + carbon capture)

turquoise (methane pyrolysis)

Other

24

22

20

11

10

5

4

4

In Tontine, which will be the first color to go extinct?

Nov 27, 8:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8539

OptionProbability

Yellow

Magenta/Pink

Orange

Red

Purple

Green

Cyan

64

16

16

2

1

1

0

Will AGI be able to qualitatively describe what color is to someone blind from birth?

Sep 19, 12:58 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

28%chance

6405

OptionVotes

NO

YES

145

120

Would Mary from Mary's Room have a new experience upon seeing color for the first time?

Oct 21, 12:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

89.13%chance

3134

OptionVotes

NO

YES

163

37

Will NASA’s Artemis land the first woman and the first person of color on the moon?

Sep 8, 12:59 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43.41%chance

4130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

114

88

It will be possible to play any game auto-transferred to the color palette of any other game (eg GTA IV in WoW's)

Apr 6, 6:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

60.69%chance

3119

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

73

Will the Oakland Athletics change their logo or team colors by the time they play their first game in Las Vegas?

Apr 30, 5:48 AMMar 2, 5:59 AM

26.82%chance

385

OptionVotes

YES

NO

224

91

What color will the ‘grey goo’ be when it inevitably destroys humanity?

Nov 5, 4:33 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

160

OptionProbability

No one around to see it, invalid question

Grey

Green

Pink

Blue

Black

White

50

26

26

26

26

26

26

At which MTG Pro Tour will I next register a Constructed Magic deck where Black is a base color?

Mar 5, 11:50 PMMar 30, 10:48 PM

251

OptionProbability

PT Secrets of Strixhaven

PT Marvel Superheroes

After PT 1 of 2027

PT 1 2027

26

26

26

22

Will AI create a Colors of the Wind video with Jose Luis Ricon subbing for John Rolfe by 2028?

Sep 11, 1:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

37.17%chance

115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

85

58

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