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Prediction markets for Color

Real person of color exists before 2045?

Jun 10, 5:40 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

76.56%chance

143515

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1807

553

Color of first official confirmed alien on Earth (before 2050)

Aug 7, 6:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

12922

OptionProbability

No Alien official confirmed on Earth until 2050

Unknown to the human eye / Other

Green or Yellow

Blue or Purple or Red

Black or White

90

5

2

2

2

Which Magic the Gathering color will have the fewest number of cards on Jan 1st 2027 according to Scryfall.com?

Dec 7, 6:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16850

OptionProbability

Blue

Green

Red

White

Black

52

43

3

1

1

What color tie will the next POTUS wear at their inauguration?

Jan 2, 8:00 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

11833

OptionProbability

Blue

Red

[Not wearing a tie or neckwear]

Other

Black

Green

Purple

White

Orange

Yellow

Pink

17

15

14

13

7

7

7

6

5

5

4

Which of the following "colors" of hydrogen will be the cheapest by 2030? [details in description]

Oct 22, 9:00 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

9555

OptionProbability

black/brown (coal gasification)

green (renewable electricity + water electrolysis)

gray (steam methane reforming)

white/gold (geologic: stimulated serpentinization or microbial biogeochemistry)

pink (nuclear electricity + water electrolysis)

blue (steam methane reforming + carbon capture)

turquoise (methane pyrolysis)

Other

24

22

20

11

10

5

4

4

Will my color-based web game exceed 100 users in a single day?

Jun 17, 2:28 PMDec 31, 3:25 PM

64%chance

7482

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1333

750

Will AGI be able to qualitatively describe what color is to someone blind from birth?

Sep 19, 12:58 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

32.99%chance

6425

OptionVotes

NO

YES

153

100

Would Mary from Mary's Room have a new experience upon seeing color for the first time?

Oct 21, 12:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

89.13%chance

3134

OptionVotes

NO

YES

163

37

It will be possible to play any game auto-transferred to the color palette of any other game (eg GTA IV in WoW's)

Apr 6, 6:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

60.69%chance

3119

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

73

Will there be another color of Super Saiyan in the Dragon Ball series by Jan 1st 2028?

Jan 2, 5:51 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

69.23%chance

272

OptionVotes

NO

YES

150

67

What color will the ‘grey goo’ be when it inevitably destroys humanity?

Nov 5, 4:33 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

160

OptionProbability

No one around to see it, invalid question

Grey

Green

Pink

Blue

Black

White

50

26

26

26

26

26

26

Will AI create a Colors of the Wind video with Jose Luis Ricon subbing for John Rolfe by 2028?

Sep 11, 1:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

37.17%chance

115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

85

58

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