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Prediction markets for Color

Real person of color exists before 2045?

Jun 10, 5:40 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

79.79%chance

143465

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1987

503

If I MOP next year, what color group will I make?

Aug 1, 12:42 AMJun 1, 12:40 AM

5997

OptionProbability

Black

Red

Blue

Green

Other

99

0

0

0

0

What color tie will the next POTUS wear at their inauguration?

Jan 2, 8:00 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

9732

OptionProbability

Blue

Red

[Not wearing a tie or neckwear]

Other

Black

Green

Purple

White

Pink

Orange

Yellow

17

15

14

13

7

7

7

6

5

5

5

Which of the following "colors" of hydrogen will be the cheapest by 2030? [details in description]

Oct 22, 9:00 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

9555

OptionProbability

black/brown (coal gasification)

green (renewable electricity + water electrolysis)

gray (steam methane reforming)

white/gold (geologic: stimulated serpentinization or microbial biogeochemistry)

pink (nuclear electricity + water electrolysis)

blue (steam methane reforming + carbon capture)

turquoise (methane pyrolysis)

Other

24

22

20

11

10

5

4

4

In Tontine, which will be the first color to go extinct?

Nov 27, 8:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8539

OptionProbability

Yellow

Magenta/Pink

Orange

Red

Purple

Green

Cyan

64

16

16

2

1

1

0

Will AGI be able to qualitatively describe what color is to someone blind from birth?

Sep 19, 12:58 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

28%chance

6405

OptionVotes

NO

YES

145

120

Would Mary from Mary's Room have a new experience upon seeing color for the first time?

Oct 21, 12:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

89.13%chance

3134

OptionVotes

NO

YES

163

37

Will NASA’s Artemis land the first woman and the first person of color on the moon?

Sep 8, 12:59 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43.41%chance

4130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

114

88

It will be possible to play any game auto-transferred to the color palette of any other game (eg GTA IV in WoW's)

Apr 6, 6:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

60.69%chance

3119

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

73

What color will the ‘grey goo’ be when it inevitably destroys humanity?

Nov 5, 4:33 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

160

OptionProbability

No one around to see it, invalid question

Grey

Green

Pink

Blue

Black

White

50

26

26

26

26

26

26

Will the Oakland Athletics change their logo or team colors by the time they play their first game in Las Vegas?

Apr 30, 5:48 AMMar 2, 5:59 AM

37.21%chance

235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

174

114

Will AI create a Colors of the Wind video with Jose Luis Ricon subbing for John Rolfe by 2028?

Sep 11, 1:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

37.17%chance

115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

85

58

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