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Prediction markets for Commercial Lunar Payload Services

Which month will Blue Moon Mk 1 successfully land on the Moon?

Jan 19, 3:09 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

122167

OptionProbability

Other

March 2026

April 2026

May 2026

June 2026

July 2026

August 2026

September 2026

October 2026

November 2026

December 2026

99

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Firefly Aerospace's Blue Ghost M2 mission successfully land on the moon?

Sep 11, 10:33 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

67.39%chance

151857

OptionVotes

NO

YES

184

85

Will Intuitive Machine's IM-3 mission successfully land on the moon?

Sep 10, 3:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71.78%chance

231670

OptionVotes

NO

YES

993

987

Will Astrobotic Technology's Griffin Mission 1 mission successfully land on the moon?

Sep 11, 10:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

67.86%chance

17975

OptionVotes

YES

NO

991

938

Will Blue Moon be launched on Falcon Heavy ?

Jun 2, 7:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9%chance

14707

OptionVotes

YES

NO

318

31

Will Astrobotic's Astrobotic Mission 3 mission successfully land on the moon?

Sep 16, 2:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

96.23%chance

7613

OptionVotes

NO

YES

466

20

Will Griffin-1 successfully land on the moon?

Jun 16, 2:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

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