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Prediction markets for Commercial Lunar Payload Services

Will Firefly Aerospace's Blue Ghost M2 mission successfully land on the moon?

Sep 11, 10:33 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

67.39%chance

151857

OptionVotes

NO

YES

184

85

Will Intuitive Machine's IM-3 mission successfully land on the moon?

Sep 10, 3:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

73.45%chance

201485

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1054

964

Which month will Blue Moon Mk 1 successfully land on the Moon?

Jan 19, 3:09 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

121140

OptionProbability

Other

December 2026

October 2026

November 2026

June 2026

July 2026

August 2026

September 2026

March 2026

April 2026

May 2026

87

4

2

2

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

Will Astrobotic Technology's Griffin Mission 1 mission successfully land on the moon?

Sep 11, 10:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

74%chance

14869

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1153

904

Will Blue Moon be launched on Falcon Heavy ?

Jun 2, 7:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.44%chance

11511

OptionVotes

YES

NO

121

82

Will Astrobotic's Astrobotic Mission 3 mission successfully land on the moon?

Sep 16, 2:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

55%chance

331

OptionVotes

NO

YES

95

85

Will Griffin-1 succeed its Moon landing?

Jun 16, 2:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

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