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Prediction markets for Commercial Lunar Payload Services

Will Firefly Aerospace's Blue Ghost M2 mission successfully land on the moon?

Sep 11, 10:33 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

67.39%chance

151857

OptionVotes

NO

YES

184

85

Will Intuitive Machine's IM-3 mission successfully land on the moon?

Sep 10, 3:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

73.45%chance

201485

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1054

964

Will Astrobotic Technology's Griffin Mission 1 mission successfully land on the moon?

Sep 11, 10:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

74%chance

14869

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1153

904

Which month will Blue Moon Mk 1 successfully land on the Moon?

Jan 19, 3:09 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

8390

OptionProbability

Other

December 2026

October 2026

November 2026

September 2026

August 2026

July 2026

June 2026

March 2026

April 2026

May 2026

33

18

10

10

9

7

6

3

1

1

1

Will Astrobotic's Astrobotic Mission 3 mission successfully land on the moon?

Sep 16, 2:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

55%chance

331

OptionVotes

NO

YES

95

85

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