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Top stories

Jeannette Jara Wins Chilean Primary Backed by PPD and DC; Matthei Faces Legal Battle Amid US Copper Tariff Talks

US Foreign Policy

Jeannette Jara Wins Chilean Primary Backed by PPD and DC; Matthei Faces Legal Battle Amid US Copper Tariff Talks

Authors

6

24 days ago

Prediction markets for Communist

Chinese Communist Party stock (permanent)

Mar 27, 6:22 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

324154

OptionProbability

YES

NO

550

496

Will China still be a communist country on the following dates

Apr 14, 10:46 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

192054

OptionProbability

by Jan 1, 2025

by Jan 1, 2026

by Jan 1, 2027

by Jan 1, 2028

by Jan 1, 2029

by Jan 1, 2030

by Jan 1, 2035

by Jan 1, 2040

100

96

94

90

82

81

75

63

Which countries will stop being "communist" by 2040?

Apr 2, 11:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15767

OptionProbability

Cuba

North Korea

Laos

Vietnam

China

60

56

52

50

44

Will a socialist or communist revolution happen in a NATO country by 2030?

Nov 24, 11:48 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.33%chance

23668

OptionVotes

NO

YES

996

871

Will the Chinese communist party stay in power till 2033?

Sep 19, 7:44 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

86.06%chance

18648

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1010

970

Will Hu Chunhua be added to the Chinese Communist Party Standing Committee by the end of 2025?

Aug 21, 2:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.23%chance

2441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

69

Will any of the following Western countries' legislatures be majority controlled by explicitly fascist or communist political parties before 2030?

Feb 8, 10:43 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

28.86%chance

18334

OptionVotes

NO

YES

999

980

When will the next Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party to include a woman be chosen?

Mar 27, 3:16 AMJan 27, 3:59 PM

2119

OptionProbability

2027

2032

2037

2042

2047

33

17

17

17

17

Will any member of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party be removed from their position before Autumn 2027?

Nov 2, 12:23 PMNov 1, 3:59 PM

67.41%chance

487

OptionVotes

NO

YES

107

77

Will the 21st Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party, to be selected in 2027, include at least one woman?

Mar 27, 3:20 AMJan 27, 3:59 PM

47.35%chance

551

OptionVotes

NO

YES

116

102

When will the first Politburo Standing Committee of the Chinese Communist Party to include a woman be chosen?

Mar 27, 3:12 AMJan 27, 3:59 PM

350

OptionProbability

2032

2037

2042

2047

2027

23

23

23

22

8

Will Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh resign or be removed from the Communist Party of Vietnam Politburo before 2026?

Jul 1, 2:44 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

39.31%chance

225

OptionVotes

YES

NO

124

80

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