Community Round News

In how many months will I get a job?

Mar 7, 12:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

445559

On what year will Esmeralda have its first 50 non-staff permanent residents?

Oct 19, 5:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

72859

OptionProbability

2028

never

2029

2027

2034

2030

2035

2031

2032

2033

2026

2025

Will there be an "EA university" or similar institution by 31 December 2027?

Aug 23, 4:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

14.9%chance

512833

OptionVotes

YES

2059

657

Name new popular, positive terms for genetic technology use in oneself or one's offspring [2k subsidy]

Apr 4, 7:57 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

232646

OptionProbability

Genetic care

Non-steroid Athletic Augmentation (NAA)

Intentional Genetic Selection (IGS)

Humanity Enhancement

Heritage Optimization

Guided evolution

Conscious Genetic Elections (CGE)

Deliberate Allele Choice (DAC)

Conception freedom

Directed Elective Variation (DEV)

Hereditary Crafting

Voluntary Trait Selection (VTS)

Choose your own Geneventure (CyoG)

Voluntary eugenics (many people will still oppose it as if it was involuntary, but no amount of branding can win them over)

Alleartistry (Alleart)

Will Manifold raise a community round in 2025?

Jan 6, 2:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.99%chance

131239

OptionVotes

YES

1940

515

Will "Conceptual Rounding Errors" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 29, 10:21 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

16.6%chance

2150

OptionVotes

YES

1029

841

Will Substack's Community WeFunder Round Live Up To Its Valuation?

Apr 19, 12:17 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

35.73%chance

667

OptionVotes

YES

154

113

Community Round News

Prediction markets for Community Round

Prediction markets for Community Round

Prediction markets for Community Round

In how many months will I get a job?

On what year will Esmeralda have its first 50 non-staff permanent residents?

Will there be an "EA university" or similar institution by 31 December 2027?

Name new popular, positive terms for genetic technology use in oneself or one's offspring [2k subsidy]

Will Manifold raise a community round in 2025?

Will "Conceptual Rounding Errors" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will Substack's Community WeFunder Round Live Up To Its Valuation?

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