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Prediction markets for Compare Mode
Prediction markets for Compare Mode
Will scaling current methods be enough to eliminate LLM hallucination?
Feb 27, 11:31 PM
Jan 2, 5:59 AM
15.34%
chance
53
3171
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1805
749
Will AI usage in 2030 be split in tiers where the best and most expensive models are used rarely compared to cheaper and lower-quality models?
Dec 23, 9:10 PM
Jan 2, 5:59 AM
91%
chance
23
1906
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2000
824
Will it be possible to disentangle most of the features learned by a model comparable to GPT-2 this decade?
Nov 15, 11:15 AM
Jan 1, 6:29 PM
89.1%
chance
17
1265
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1724
825
Will it be possible to disentangle most of the features learned by a model comparable to GPT-3 this decade? (1k subsidy)
Nov 15, 11:14 AM
Jan 1, 6:29 PM
57.93%
chance
22
1154
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1586
1220
Will it be possible to disentangle most of the features learned by a model comparable to GPT-4 this decade?
Nov 15, 11:15 AM
Jan 1, 6:29 PM
36.67%
chance
14
621
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1020
978
By 2028, will GTA 6 Online surpass Roblox in average session length among users aged 18–34?
Jan 16, 7:27 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
64.21%
chance
4
310
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1164
896
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