Computer Agent News

Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

Mar 7, 1:33 AMMar 14, 1:28 AM

19543852

OptionProbability

YES - The AI, without being prompted to, took actions to breach its sandbox, including to gain crypto and an external connection

NO - The authors are wrong/lying and there was no such hack

NO - The servers were hacked by an outside party, perhaps via prompt injection

NO - An employee (or other insider) was crypto-mining and made it look like the LLM

Are LLMs capable of reaching AGI?

Oct 19, 6:00 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

51.62%chance

11836884

OptionVotes

YES

14050

6693

When will AIs be good at solving complex problems? (read description)

Mar 28, 9:19 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

128715

OptionProbability

2027

2026

2025

2024

2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today

Mar 11, 12:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

15.88%chance

233212

OptionVotes

YES

1925

695

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

82.06%chance

372697

OptionVotes

YES

1928

630

Will a piece of LLM malware cause at least $100 million in damage before 2028?

Feb 13, 4:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.34%chance

162288

OptionVotes

YES

1013

987

Will a regulatory body modeled on the FDA regulate AI in the US by the end of 2027?

Oct 19, 12:24 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.34%chance

272080

OptionVotes

YES

1501

850

Will I get punished for blindly running AI-generated code in 2026?

Jan 1, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.88%chance

161881

OptionVotes

YES

1496

668

Before July 2026, will I personally see an online ad which is obviously a prompt injection attack for AI agents?

Jan 29, 7:31 AMJun 2, 6:59 AM

35.07%chance

161466

OptionVotes

YES

1386

752

Will there be a new AI Startup primarily focused on using AI models for computer control before the end of March?

Mar 4, 2:01 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

39.68%chance

141178

OptionVotes

YES

1137

741

Will OpenAI release a super-app combining ChatGPT, Codex, and Atlass apps, before May 1 2026?

Mar 22, 3:26 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

47.33%chance

14628

OptionVotes

YES

1055

948

Will I automate Vanguard rebalancing with an AI agent by 2026?

Jan 17, 7:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.13%chance

6605

OptionVotes

YES

954

180

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Prediction markets for Computer Agent

Prediction markets for Computer Agent

Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

Are LLMs capable of reaching AGI?

When will AIs be good at solving complex problems? (read description)

2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Will a piece of LLM malware cause at least $100 million in damage before 2028?

Will a regulatory body modeled on the FDA regulate AI in the US by the end of 2027?

Will I get punished for blindly running AI-generated code in 2026?

Before July 2026, will I personally see an online ad which is obviously a prompt injection attack for AI agents?

Will there be a new AI Startup primarily focused on using AI models for computer control before the end of March?

Will OpenAI release a super-app combining ChatGPT, Codex, and Atlass apps, before May 1 2026?

Will I automate Vanguard rebalancing with an AI agent by 2026?

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