Computer Agent News

Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

Mar 7, 1:33 AMMar 14, 1:28 AM

20049319

OptionProbability

YES - The AI, without being prompted to, took actions to breach its sandbox, including to gain crypto and an external connection

NO - The authors are wrong/lying and there was no such hack

NO - The servers were hacked by an outside party, perhaps via prompt injection

NO - An employee (or other insider) was crypto-mining and made it look like the LLM

Are LLMs capable of reaching AGI?

Oct 19, 6:00 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

59.44%chance

12638679

OptionVotes

YES

12739

8335

2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today

Mar 11, 12:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

12.77%chance

233562

OptionVotes

YES

2275

637

Will I get punished for blindly running AI-generated code in 2026?

Jan 1, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.63%chance

222782

OptionVotes

YES

2323

430

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.08%chance

382747

OptionVotes

YES

1720

680

Will a piece of LLM malware cause at least $100 million in damage before 2028?

Feb 13, 4:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.34%chance

162288

OptionVotes

YES

1013

987

Will a regulatory body modeled on the FDA regulate AI in the US by the end of 2027?

Oct 19, 12:24 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.34%chance

272080

OptionVotes

YES

1501

850

Will an AI model generate a major novel physics theory that is experimentally confirmed by the end of 2037?

Sep 9, 11:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.78%chance

10545

OptionVotes

YES

1280

108

Will Coefficient Giving set up LLM agents with org accounts and a remote worker-like interface by 5/18/27?

May 20, 1:17 AMMay 18, 12:00 AM

63.18%chance

4511

OptionVotes

YES

1310

763

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

Jul 22, 10:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.91%chance

7487

OptionVotes

YES

1319

797

Will Al achieve 95% or higher on the Humanity's Last Exam benchmark before 2030?

Feb 7, 12:40 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.51%chance

4219

OptionVotes

YES

199

193

Any frontier AI company states AI fully managed >$1M training run by '27?

Apr 14, 6:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.7%chance

221

OptionVotes

YES

101

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Prediction markets for Computer Agent

Prediction markets for Computer Agent

Prediction markets for Computer Agent

Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

Are LLMs capable of reaching AGI?

2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today

Will I get punished for blindly running AI-generated code in 2026?

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Will a piece of LLM malware cause at least $100 million in damage before 2028?

Will a regulatory body modeled on the FDA regulate AI in the US by the end of 2027?

Will an AI model generate a major novel physics theory that is experimentally confirmed by the end of 2037?

Will Coefficient Giving set up LLM agents with org accounts and a remote worker-like interface by 5/18/27?

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

Will Al achieve 95% or higher on the Humanity's Last Exam benchmark before 2030?

Any frontier AI company states AI fully managed >$1M training run by '27?

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