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Prediction markets for Computer Science

Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2028

Jul 4, 3:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

62.03%chance

545201

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1451

563

In Fall 2026, will US computer science departments find their enrollment halved compared to previous years?

Jul 20, 5:16 AMDec 20, 11:59 PM

5.03%chance

183719

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4346

230

How Much Funding Will a Single Manifold Question Raise for My Antibiotic Research?💊🦠🚀

Feb 24, 12:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11946

OptionProbability

(0, 200]

None

(200, 600]

(600, 1200]

(1200, 2500]

(2500, 5000]

(5000, 10000]

(10000, 15000]

(15000, 24000]

More than $24,000

34

25

9

6

5

5

5

5

4

4

Will AI systems and humans merge to create Cyborgs which are also the primary way that most humans live, this century?

Mar 24, 9:30 AMJan 1, 6:29 AM

59.37%chance

15591

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1123

765

What degrees (including majors and minors) will I graduate with from the University of Chicago?

Dec 28, 2:48 PMJun 15, 3:59 PM

9451

OptionProbability

Economics

Physics

Computer Science

Math

Music

89

71

29

27

15

Richard Yang sells out to computer science at MIT by end of April 2026?

May 10, 2:17 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

51.13%chance

9451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1428

1000

What will I major in for my bachelor's degree

Mar 9, 7:22 AMMar 16, 6:59 AM

10393

OptionProbability

Math

Computer Science

Economics

Engineering

Statistics

69

55

38

24

15

Will Humanity Create a Consciousness-Emerging Universe Simulation by 2100?

Feb 5, 2:40 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

34.43%chance

14318

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1039

903

Will researchers extract a novel program from the weights of an LLM into a Procedural/OO programming language by 2026?

Apr 22, 4:06 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

26.5%chance

11149

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1084

950

Computer Science/AI Academics among Manifold users (permanent)

May 2, 1:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

220

OptionProbability

Other

@HastingsGreer

Hastings Greer

69

16

15

Computer Science is an overvalued college major.

Mar 22, 11:03 PM

600

Help me become better at Computer Science

Oct 27, 10:43 AM

00

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